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A 1996 policy paper for Benjamin Netanyahu, "A Clean Break," advocated abandoning "land for peace." It proposed achieving security through regional dominance by weakening adversaries like Iraq and Syria, a strategy that has directly shaped Middle Eastern conflict for decades.
Yitzhak Rabin believed normalizing Arab relations required solving the Palestinian conflict. Benjamin Netanyahu's doctrine flipped this: use US military might to neutralize hostile Arab regimes, thereby bypassing the need to address Palestinian statehood at all, a core tenet of his political career.
An expert predicts that the end of the current war will result in a fundamentally different Middle East: more unstable, fragmented into smaller states, and with its geopolitical and military direction primarily shaped by decisions made in Jerusalem, with U.S. security support.
While a Trump administration might be tempted to cut a deal and withdraw from conflict with Iran, Israel's post-October 7th security doctrine has changed. Netanyahu's government will likely push hard for complete regime change, complicating any US efforts to de-escalate for political convenience.
A key geopolitical theory suggests Israel's grand strategy is the "Greater Israel Project," a plan to expand its influence across the Middle East from the Nile to the Euphrates. This would involve conquering territory in modern-day Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey.
The US attack on Iran was not part of a grand strategy, but the result of Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu's two-decade campaign to persuade a US president to act. Professor Allison describes Netanyahu as a 'magician' who successfully 'mesmerized' President Trump into initiating what is effectively 'Bibi's war.'
According to Buttigieg, Benjamin Netanyahu's actions in Gaza and the West Bank reveal an ideological project to take over "Greater Israel," a vision with little room for Palestinians. This motive transcends stated goals of national security and explains his aggressive policies.
Emanuel asserts that Benjamin Netanyahu, unlike predecessors like Rabin or Begin, has failed to pair military action with a viable diplomatic and political strategy. He claims this has trapped Israel in a self-destructive cycle of perpetual conflict.
The creation of Israel is framed not as a nationalist or religious project, but as a strategic business model by the British Empire and financiers like the Rothschilds. Its purpose was to install a permanent military-industrial asset in the Middle East to ensure constant conflict, justifying war profiteering and resource extraction.
Despite Trump's stated goal of ending "stupid wars," U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East has aligned more closely with the neoconservative and Israeli lobby's long-term goal of remaking the region. This suggests their influence is a more reliable predictor of U.S. action than the President's own rhetoric.
Israeli officials now openly state regime change in Iran is their goal. However, their strategy is not a direct overthrow but rather to target Iran's internal "suppression" forces. By removing the regime's tools to quell dissent, they aim to create an opportunity for the Iranian people to rise up themselves.