Google is leveraging Chrome's dominance to control the AI landscape. By introducing proprietary, non-standard APIs for local LLMs, they encourage web developers to build experiences optimized for Gemini, effectively creating a moat and making it harder for other AI models to compete on the web.

Related Insights

Despite a wave of new AI-powered browsers from companies like OpenAI, nearly all are built on Google's Chromium engine. This stifles deep innovation and competition at the web's foundational layer, creating a monoculture with an illusion of choice.

Google Gemini has quietly become the second most-used AI platform for marketers, with usage surging from 33% to 51% in a year. This rapid adoption is heavily influenced by Google's strategic decision to bundle it into its ubiquitous Workspace ecosystem, creating a powerful distribution advantage.

Google's strategy of integrating its AI, Gemini, directly into its widely-used Chrome browser gives it a massive distribution advantage over standalone tools like ChatGPT. By making AI a seamless part of the user's existing workflow, Google can make its tool the default choice, which marketers must optimize for.

Google's competitive advantage in AI is its vertical integration. By controlling the entire stack from custom TPUs and foundational models (Gemini) to IDEs (AI Studio) and user applications (Workspace), it creates a deeply integrated, cost-effective, and convenient ecosystem that is difficult to replicate.

Contrary to popular narrative, Google's AI products have likely surpassed OpenAI in monthly users. By bundling AI into its existing ecosystem (2B users for AI Overviews, 650M for the Gemini app), Google leverages its massive distribution to win consumer adoption, even if user intent is less direct than visiting ChatGPT.

Google can afford to offer its LLM for free, creating immense pricing pressure on competitors like OpenAI. This strategy aims to eliminate competition by making their business models unprofitable, securing a monopoly for Google before it begins to monetize.

Google's strategy may be to offer its powerful AI models for free or at a significant loss. As a trillion-dollar company, it can sustain these losses indefinitely, forcing smaller competitors like OpenAI into an "endless sea of red ink" until they collapse, thereby securing a market monopoly.

While ChatGPT remains dominant, Google's Gemini has doubled its web traffic share in the last year as ChatGPT's has fallen. This trend mirrors the historical browser wars where an early leader like Netscape was eventually overtaken. Brands must now prioritize their visibility and strategy within the burgeoning Gemini ecosystem.

Gemini is converting daily ChatGPT users not just with model capabilities, but with superior UX like better response sizing and perceived speed. Crucially, the trust in the Google brand for search is transferring to its AI, making users more confident in its reliability, even with less complex reasoning.

While OpenAI leads in AI buzz, Google's true advantage is its established ecosystem of Chrome, Search, Android, and Cloud. Newcomers like OpenAI aspire to build this integrated powerhouse, but Google already is one, making its business far more resilient even if its own AI stumbles.