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The Israel-Palestine conflict is often framed as a religious clash, but its root is the political reality of military occupation. The Palestinian response is a predictable human reaction to subjugation, similar to the Irish resisting the British, not a unique feature of their religion.

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The popularity of extremist groups like Hamas is inversely correlated with the viability of a peace process. During periods when a two-state solution seemed possible, support for Hamas declined. When hope for a political resolution collapses, extremism surges as people turn to violence as their only perceived option.

For deep-seated issues like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, pursuing a grand final solution is often counterproductive. A better approach is to "shrink the conflict" through practical, tangible steps like building transportation corridors, which can reduce friction and build momentum for an eventual resolution.

The only historically effective method to resolve deep-rooted religious and ideological conflicts is to shift focus toward shared economic prosperity. Alliances like the Abraham Accords create tangible incentives for peace that ideology alone cannot, by making life demonstrably better for citizens.

Viewing the conflict as two rational sides in a misunderstanding is flawed. Both sides see the other as an existential threat and are willing to use extreme violence to achieve their goals. This reframes the narrative from a political dispute to a primal, violent tribal conflict where both sides see themselves as righteous.

Geopolitical solutions based on earthly incentives like economic development are bound to fail when dealing with an ideology focused on martyrdom. If people believe the ultimate goal is paradise after death, they won't compromise for a better life for their children now.

The argument posits that religious tribalism is an ancient organizing principle that inevitably leads to conflict. The only force powerful enough to override it is the even more fundamental human drive for economic exchange. Creating shared economic prosperity is the only sustainable path to peace in regions like the Middle East.

The Occupation, Not Religion, Is the Core Driver of Conflict | RiffOn