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  1. Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
  2. Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show
Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory · Oct 30, 2025

Analyzing global instability from Israel-Gaza to a potential US shutdown, AI job losses, and a mysterious object nearing Earth.

Sophisticated Drug Operations Sell Risk Management as Their Core Product

The actual business of a high-level drug enterprise is not just selling a product, but managing immense risk. Their competitive advantage—their "moat"—is the ability to navigate a system of extreme violence and legal peril, which requires a high level of entrepreneurial skill.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Economic Insecurity Transmutes into the Anger That Fuels Cultural Civil Wars

The root of rising civil unrest and anti-immigrant sentiment is often economic insecurity, not just a clash of cultures. People convert financial anxiety into anger, which is then easily directed at visible, culturally different groups, creating flashpoints that can escalate into violence.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Eroding Unwritten Political Norms Creates More Instability Than Breaking Laws

Much of government functions on decorum and unwritten rules. When political actors attack these norms—like challenging procedural traditions—it creates a cycle of retribution that destabilizes the entire system more profoundly than any single illegal act could.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Populist Leaders Are Symptoms of Systemic Problems, Not the Cause

Figures like Donald Trump don't create populist movements; they rise by capitalizing on pre-existing societal problems like economic despair. Focusing on removing the leader ignores the root causes that allowed them to gain power, ensuring another similar figure will eventually emerge.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

The Path to an AI-Driven Abundance Economy Will Likely Be Paved with Bloodshed

While AI may eventually create a world of abundance where energy and labor are free, the transition will be violent. The unprecedented scale of job displacement, coupled with a societal loss of meaning, will likely lead to significant bloodshed and social upheaval before any utopian endpoint is reached.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Counting Government Jobs in GDP Artificially Inflates Economic Health and Masks Stagnation

Including government employment in GDP calculations is a form of double-counting tax revenue that masks the true health of the private sector. A major reduction in federal workers would reveal a startlingly low real growth rate, exposing decades of underlying economic stagnation.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Economic Alliances Are the Only Proven Path to Peace in Intractable Religious Conflicts

The only historically effective method to resolve deep-rooted religious and ideological conflicts is to shift focus toward shared economic prosperity. Alliances like the Abraham Accords create tangible incentives for peace that ideology alone cannot, by making life demonstrably better for citizens.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

International Conflicts Are Ultimately Decided by Power, Not Moral Superiority

In global conflicts, a nation's power dictates its actions and outcomes, not moral righteousness. History shows powerful nations, like the U.S. using nuclear weapons, operate beyond conventional moral constraints, making an understanding of power dynamics more critical than moralizing.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago

Successful Revolutions Require Political Organization, Not Just Widespread Desperation

Widespread suffering alone doesn't trigger a revolution. Historically, successful uprisings require a politically savvy, well-organized group with a clear agenda and influential leadership. Disparate and unorganized populations, no matter how desperate, tend to see their energy dissipate without causing systemic change.

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show thumbnail

Gaza Ceasefire Lies, SNAP Benefits on the Brink, and Why It All Comes Down to Economics | The Tom Bilyeu Show

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·4 months ago