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  1. Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
  2. Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live
Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory · Feb 25, 2026

Mexico's on fire after a cartel leader's death, the US readies for conflict with Iran, and a major Middle East policy blunder ignites outrage.

Trump's Foreign Policy Leverages Overwhelming Military Buildup for Negotiation Dominance

Trump's negotiation strategy, particularly with Iran, involves a massive, visible military presence to create extreme pressure. This 'peace through strength' approach aims to force concessions at the negotiating table by making the alternative—imminent, overwhelming force—undeniably clear and credible.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Economic Interdependence Is the Only Solution for Religious Conflict

The argument posits that religious tribalism is an ancient organizing principle that inevitably leads to conflict. The only force powerful enough to override it is the even more fundamental human drive for economic exchange. Creating shared economic prosperity is the only sustainable path to peace in regions like the Middle East.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Narco-Terrorists Should Be Treated Like a Cancerous Tumor Requiring Radical Surgery

The argument posits that allowing paramilitary groups like cartels to operate is analogous to letting a tumor metastasize. The necessary response, though devastating and violent like chemotherapy, must be a massive military push to 'smash these guys into oblivion,' as tolerating their existence is a fatal choice for the nation.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Iran's Nuclear Ambiguity Is a Strategic Trap That Invites Foreign Attack and Suppresses Dissent

Iran is caught in a strategic dilemma: claiming to be close to a nuclear weapon invites a preemptive US strike, while admitting weakness could embolden internal protest movements. This precarious balance makes their public statements highly volatile and reveals a fundamental vulnerability.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Mass Immigration Can Function as a Long-Term Strategy for Political Takeover

The historical establishment of Israel is presented as a playbook for political conquest through demographics. A group can immigrate into a region, grow its numbers until it becomes a dominant political class, and eventually assume control, a strategy potentially being replicated by other groups in modern nations.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Mexican President Scheinbaum's 'Blow Over' Strategy Views Cartel Violence as Manageable

President Claudia Scheinbaum's hesitant response to cartel violence is framed not as weakness, but as a calculated political gamble. She may believe letting the violence 'blow over' is less risky than an all-out war that could threaten her family and destabilize her government.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Mike Huckabee's Use of Genesis Justifies Modern Geopolitical Land Claims

U.S. Ambassador Mike Huckabee cited the Book of Genesis to support Israel’s right to claim vast Middle East territories. This demonstrates how ancient theological arguments, detached from modern international law, are actively used by state officials to legitimize expansionist foreign policy.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

The US Uses a 'Train and Assist' Model With Navy SEALs for Covert Foreign Ops

The US executes high-stakes foreign operations while maintaining plausible deniability by deploying elite units like Navy SEALs to train and equip local special forces. This model, used in Mexico against the CJNG cartel, allows partner nations to conduct raids with US intelligence and expertise.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Foreign Leaders Can Leverage Trump's Ego and Legacy to Gain US Support

Instead of fearing Trump's unpredictability, foreign leaders can manipulate it. By appealing to his desire for a 'peace through strength' legacy and his need to showcase American power, a country like Mexico could secure significant military and economic aid by framing it as a clear win for him.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

Political Ideologies Are Evolved Balancing Mechanisms, Not Just Social Choices

This perspective frames left- and right-wing ideologies as evolved, necessary functions for large-scale societies. The left's compassion prevents draconian rule, while the right's order prevents societal decay into 'suicidal empathy.' Society requires both to maintain a functional balance and avoid collapse into either extreme.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago

NYC's ID Rules for Snow Shoveling Reveal Deeper Political Priorities

NYC's mayor required two forms of ID and a social security card for temporary snow-shoveling jobs while opposing voter ID laws. This bureaucratic contradiction suggests the debate isn't about accessibility, but about which system's integrity (financial vs. electoral) is prioritized for political gain.

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live thumbnail

Cartel on Fire: Mexico’s Civil War Threat, Iranian Nukes, & Huckabee’s Middle East Blunder | Tom Bilyeu Show Live

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory·a day ago