Political violence and extreme polarization are symptoms of deeper economic anxieties. When people feel economically insecure, they retreat into tribal identities and become susceptible to narratives of anger, which can escalate into violence.

Modern global conflict is primarily economic, not kinetic. Nations now engage in strategic warfare through currency debasement, asset seizures, and manipulating capital flows. The objective is to inflict maximum financial damage on adversaries, making economic policy a primary weapon of war.

The only historically effective method to resolve deep-rooted religious and ideological conflicts is to shift focus toward shared economic prosperity. Alliances like the Abraham Accords create tangible incentives for peace that ideology alone cannot, by making life demonstrably better for citizens.

The root cause of many social conflicts is not just ideology but deep-seated economic anxiety. When people struggle to pay bills, that stress turns into anger, which is easily manipulated into tribalism and fighting over a perceived "shrinking pie."

Geopolitical flare-ups are not random events but the result of decades of policy decisions. They often coincide with the tail end of global economic expansion, serving as a critical macro indicator that a cycle is turning.

The post-Cold War era of stability is over. The world is returning to an 'Old Normal' where great power conflict plays out in the economic arena. This new state is defined by fiscal dominance, weaponized supply chains, and structurally higher inflation, risk premia, and volatility.

The argument posits that religious tribalism is an ancient organizing principle that inevitably leads to conflict. The only force powerful enough to override it is the even more fundamental human drive for economic exchange. Creating shared economic prosperity is the only sustainable path to peace in regions like the Middle East.

Despite narratives of higher purpose, the bedrock of modern life is economic specialization. This system ensures survival and allows for hyper-specialization, which is why economic disruptions so easily unravel societal stability and lead to global conflict.

The current wave of global conflict and deglobalization is a direct consequence of a multi-decade populist trend. As younger generations demand fairer economic outcomes ('median outcomes'), governments are forced into protectionist policies, which inevitably create international friction and competition for resources.