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Recent actions, like alleged 'double-tap' strikes on first responders, suggest the current military leadership, influenced by the Secretary of Defense, views violations of armed conflict laws not as failures but as necessary tactics for achieving victory.
Under Secretary of War Emil Michael reveals a strategic pivot away from restrictive, "fair fight" rules of engagement. The new approach, reminiscent of the Powell Doctrine, emphasizes using overwhelming force to achieve clear objectives quickly and minimize US casualties.
The White House and Pentagon are deliberately shifting blame for a controversial military strike onto a subordinate admiral. This tactic insulates political leaders like the Secretary of Defense, whose rocky tenure and past blunders created the context for such controversial actions, from accountability.
The US executive branch increasingly initiates military action by citing inherent commander-in-chief powers, sidestepping the constitutional requirement for Congress to declare war. This shift, exemplified by the Venezuela operation, marks a 'third founding' of the American republic where historical checks and balances on war-making are now considered quaint.
A population can be habituated to war through gradual escalation. By starting with seemingly small, contained "lightning strikes," each subsequent step feels less shocking. This incremental approach can lead a nation into a major conflict without a single decisive moment of public debate or consent.
Engaging a military with a decentralized command structure is perilous because there's no central authority for negotiation. Even if leadership is neutralized, autonomous cells can continue fighting, creating an unwinnable "headless chicken" scenario where a ceasefire is impossible to implement.
Debates over systems like Israel's 'Lavender' often focus on the AI. However, the more critical issue may be the human-defined 'rules of engagement'—specifically, what level of algorithmic confidence (e.g., 55% accuracy) leadership deems acceptable to authorize a strike. This is a policy problem, not just a technology one.
Against an enemy employing asymmetric warfare, achieving total victory may be impossible without resorting to indiscriminate killing and infrastructure destruction. Since modern Western societies lack the moral appetite for such tactics, decisive military wins become elusive.
Initial military actions, like successful bombings, can feel like victories. However, they often fail to solve the core political issue, trapping leaders into escalating the conflict further to achieve the original strategic goal, as they don't want to accept failure.
Secretary Hegseth's controversial military actions are rooted in a long-held belief, articulated before he took office, that lawyers have tied America's hands with "red tape." This "stab-in-the-back" myth, blaming legal constraints for past failures, now drives his radical approach to the laws of war.
The Pentagon may defend controversial "double tap" strikes, which kill survivors at sea, by arguing the second strike's purpose is to destroy the wreckage as a navigational hazard. This reframes the killing of survivors as incidental, attempting to sidestep war crime accusations.