For global expansion, view countries as having unique attributes like players on a sports team. Outsized returns come from matching your business to a country's inherent 'raw material' strengths—such as leveraging the US for its market liquidity, or Australia for its abundant land and sun for solar projects.
While international markets have more volatility and lower trust, their biggest advantage is inefficiency. Many basic services are underdeveloped, creating enormous 'low-hanging fruit' opportunities. Providing a great, reliable service in a market where few things work well can create immense and durable value.
Unlike previous years dominated by a single theme, 2026 will require a more nuanced approach. Performance will be driven by a range of factors including country-specific fiscal dynamics, the end of rate-cutting cycles, election outcomes, and beneficiaries of AI capex. Investors must move from a single macro view to a multi-factor differentiation strategy.
The U.S. industrial strategy isn't pure "reshoring" but "friend-shoring." The goal is to build a global supply chain that excludes China, not to bring all production home. This creates massive investment opportunities in allied countries like Mexico, Vietnam, Korea, and Japan, which are beneficiaries of this geopolitical realignment.
A powerful EM strategy involves identifying businesses with proven, powerful models from developed markets, like American Tower. Local EM investor bases may not be familiar with the model's potential, creating an opportunity to buy these companies at a displaced valuation before their predictable results drive multiple expansion.
While Airbnb experiments with new offerings like 'experiences' and services, analysts believe its most sensible and proven growth strategy is the geographic expansion of its core rental business. Deep localization for new markets, such as adding local payment options in Brazil, has proven more effective than product diversification in saturated markets.
Instead of concentrating its sales force in one region, Deel hired individual salespeople in various countries early in its journey. This counterintuitive move, often criticized as defocusing, allowed the company to quickly test and understand multiple markets in parallel. This strategy was key to rapidly ramping up a global go-to-market motion with localized insights.
Instead of competing in a crowded field on standard terms, redefine the competitive landscape. Build your strategy around a game that only you can win, where your firm's unique capabilities—like talent development or add-on execution—become the most important factors for success.
The company leverages its remote structure by hiring strategically. A Spanish team is located near suppliers for better sourcing and relationships, while a British team focuses on the consumer market. This intentional geographic distribution optimizes both supply chain and marketing efforts.
Ari Emanuel's core strategy was to identify localized companies or talent with global potential. By leveraging Endeavor's global platform, they could significantly increase an asset's value, allowing them to transition from a representation role to a more lucrative ownership position. This model focuses on unlocking latent global demand.
Geopolitical shifts mean a company's country of origin heavily influences its market access and tariff burdens. This "corporate nationality" creates an uneven playing field, where a business's location can instantly become a massive advantage or liability compared to competitors.