Prosperity breeds complacency, leading businesses to overspend and expand into non-core areas. This dilutes focus and creates vulnerabilities. In contrast, bad times force the discipline and process improvements that build resilient companies, exposing what's missing in the operation.
Massive opportunities are built on a three-legged framework, starting with an undeniable market gap. This gap must be an unequivocal data point, not a manufactured projection. Only after identifying this 'force of nature' can a great team be assembled, which then makes securing funding significantly easier.
For global expansion, view countries as having unique attributes like players on a sports team. Outsized returns come from matching your business to a country's inherent 'raw material' strengths—such as leveraging the US for its market liquidity, or Australia for its abundant land and sun for solar projects.
Two powerful trends are converging: solar panel costs have plummeted, making them cheaper than IKEA furniture for construction, while AI, data centers, and EVs create unprecedented energy demand. This creates a massive opportunity for large-scale solar projects in energy-strained regions like the Philippines.
Counterintuitively, targeting significantly larger deals forces extreme focus. A $5 billion fundraising goal might involve only 10 conversations, whereas a $5 million goal could involve 1,000. This massive scale filters for serious professionals and eliminates the distractions common in smaller-scale endeavors, simplifying the process.
Family offices and PE firms have fundamentally opposed directives. A family office's primary goal is capital preservation ('don't lose money'), influencing everything from governance to hiring ex-private bankers. In contrast, PE firms seek leveraged returns, hiring 'running and gunning' fund managers to take calculated, asymmetrical risks.