Tubi's CEO argues that the media industry's focus on consolidation misses the bigger story. The more profound shift is the convergence of the creator economy and traditional Hollywood, which is fundamentally changing how content is made, distributed, and consumed by the next generation of viewers.
Unlike platforms like YouTube that merely host user-uploaded content, new generative AI platforms are directly involved in creating the content themselves. This fundamental shift from distributor to creator introduces a new level of brand and moral responsibility for the platform's output.
As AI tools enable millions of amateur creators to produce professional-quality content, platforms like YouTube and Spotify become less reliant on a small number of mainstream media giants. This diffusion of content creation shifts bargaining power away from traditional studios and labels to the platforms themselves.
The traditional Hollywood production model, with its bloated crews and high costs, is unsustainable. AI will drastically lower production costs while audience preferences shift to short-form video. This dual threat will force a brutal economic reckoning and consolidation.
High-stakes bidding for legacy media assets like Warner Bros. is driven by status-seeking among the ultra-wealthy, not a sound bet on the future of media. They are acquiring prestigious "shiny objects" from the past, while the actual attention economy has shifted to platforms like TikTok and YouTube.
Hollywood's current crisis is self-inflicted, stemming from a decades-long failure to adapt its business models and economics. Instead of innovating to compete with tech-driven services like Netflix, the industry persisted with inefficient structures and is now blaming disruptors for inevitable consumer-driven changes.
Traditional media companies are turning to successful YouTube creators to source proven concepts and talent. They offer upfront capital to scale existing YouTube IP into larger productions, creating a symbiotic relationship between once-separate platforms.
The OpenAI team believes generative video won't just create traditional feature films more easily. It will give rise to entirely new mediums and creator classes, much like the film camera created cinema, a medium distinct from the recorded stage plays it was first used for.
The underlying driver for major media shifts, from studio mergers to the pivot of podcasts to video, is YouTube's complete platform domination. Its ability to distribute all types of content at scale is forcing legacy media to consolidate and creators to adapt to its video-first ecosystem.
Addressing concerns about fragmented media, YouTube's CEO argues that new shared cultural experiences are emerging on the platform. He points to events like an NFL game integrating top creators like Mr. Beast into the live broadcast as the modern equivalent of traditional appointment viewing, creating a "new water cooler moment."
Massive M&A deals for legacy media are backward-looking financial transactions based on past earnings. The truly transformative acquisitions (like Facebook buying Instagram) are smaller, forward-looking bets on future trends like user-generated content.