During product discovery, Amazon teams ask, "What would be our worst possible news headline?" This pre-mortem practice forces the team to identify and confront potential weak points, blind spots, and negative outcomes upfront. It's a powerful tool for looking around corners and ensuring all bases are covered before committing to build.

Calling a "code red" is a strategic leadership move used to shock the system. Beyond solving an urgent issue, it serves as a loyalty test to identify the most committed team members, build collective confidence through rapid problem-solving, and rally everyone against competitive threats.

Contrary to popular belief, successful entrepreneurs are not reckless risk-takers. They are experts at systematically eliminating risk. They validate demand before building, structure deals to minimize capital outlay (e.g., leasing planes), and enter markets with weak competition. Their goal is to win with the least possible exposure.

The 'fake press release' is a useful vision-setting tool, but a 'pre-mortem' is more tactical. It involves writing out two scenarios before a project starts: one detailing exactly *why* it succeeded (e.g., team structure, metrics alignment) and another detailing *why* it failed. This forces a proactive discussion of process and risks, not just the desired outcome.

Deciding to pivot isn't about perseverance; it's a cold, rational decision made when you've exhausted all non-ridiculous ideas for success. The main barrier is emotional—it's "fucking humiliating" to admit you were wrong. The key is to separate the intellectual decision from the emotional cost.

Instead of avoiding risk, teams build trust by creating a 'safe danger' zone for manageable risks, like sharing a half-baked idea. This process of successfully navigating small vulnerabilities rewires fear into trust and encourages creative thinking, proving that safety and danger are more like 'dance partners' than opposites.

Before a major business pivot, first identify what can be let go or scaled back. This creates the necessary space and resources for the new direction, preventing overwhelm and ensuring the pivot is an extension of identity, not just another added task on your plate.

Managers cannot just be soldiers executing orders. If you don't truly believe in a strategy, you cannot effectively inspire your team. You must engage leadership to find an angle you can genuinely support or decompose the idea into testable hypotheses you can commit to.

Before starting a project, ask the team to imagine it has failed and write a story explaining why. This exercise in 'time travel' bypasses optimism bias and surfaces critical operational risks, resource gaps, and flawed assumptions that would otherwise be missed until it's too late.