Being an "AI pessimist" means being a realist about the technology's limits. As a prime example, OpenAI—the leader in the field—used traditional, human-led analog filmmaking for its first TV commercial. This move demonstrates that AI is a powerful tool within a creative process, not a replacement for entire creative industries or human skill.

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Generative AI is a powerful tool for accelerating the production and refinement of creative work, but it cannot replace human taste or generate a truly compelling core idea. The most effective use of AI is as a partner to execute a pre-existing, human-driven concept, not as the source of the idea itself.

The fear that AI will replace top artists is misplaced. The correct framing is what happens when top talent gets AI tools. A director like Steven Spielberg could potentially increase their output 20-fold for a fraction of the cost, leading to a massive increase in high-quality creative work.

Don't view generative AI video as just a way to make traditional films more efficiently. Ben Horowitz sees it as a fundamentally new creative medium, much like movies were to theater. It enables entirely new forms of storytelling by making visuals that once required massive budgets accessible to anyone.

AI is engineered to eliminate errors, which is precisely its limitation. True human creativity stems from our "bugs"—our quirks, emotions, misinterpretations, and mistakes. This ability to be imperfect is what will continue to separate human ingenuity from artificial intelligence.

Unlike the tech industry's forward-looking nostalgia, Hollywood's culture is rooted in preserving traditional filmmaking processes. This cultural attachment makes the creative community view AI not just as a job threat, but as an unwelcome disruption to the established craft and order, slowing its adoption as a creative tool.

Sam Altman argues the AI vs. human content debate is a false dichotomy. The dominant creative form will be a hybrid where humans use AI as a tool. Consumers will ultimately judge content on its quality and originality ('is it slop?'), not on its method of creation.

ElevenLabs' CEO predicts AI won't enable a single prompt-to-movie process soon. Instead, it will create a collaborative "middle-to-middle" workflow, where AI assists with specific stages like drafting scripts or generating voice options, which humans then refine in an iterative loop.

True creative mastery emerges from an unpredictable human process. AI can generate options quickly but bypasses this journey, losing the potential for inexplicable, last-minute genius that defines truly great work. It optimizes for speed at the cost of brilliance.

The OpenAI team believes generative video won't just create traditional feature films more easily. It will give rise to entirely new mediums and creator classes, much like the film camera created cinema, a medium distinct from the recorded stage plays it was first used for.

Scott Belsky predicts that as AI-generated content floods feeds, audiences will develop a 'membrane of doubt.' To counter this, brands and artists will use 'proof of craft'—behind-the-scenes content showing the human effort involved—as a powerful tool for advertising and building trust.