Terry Smith believes most analysts don't read full financial reports due to laziness and the futility of fighting the market. If everyone else trades on management's adjusted numbers and headline figures, the lone analyst doing deep accounting work risks looking foolish as the stock moves against their fundamental view.

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Companies that grow via frequent acquisitions often exclude integration costs from adjusted metrics by labeling them "one-time" charges. This is misleading. For this business model, these are predictable, recurring operational expenses and should be treated as such by analysts calculating a company's true profitability.

Official financial segments often reflect bureaucracy, not true business economics. By creating a 'Shadow P&L' through deductive analysis, investors can uncover massive hidden costs in non-core initiatives, as ValueAct did with Microsoft's hardware divisions.

The supposed "research" from Wall Street analysts was compromised by cronyism. Analysts often functioned as promoters for companies their firms held as clients, attending plush conferences to "toot client stocks." Their compensation was tied to generating banking business, not providing accurate analysis for investors.

AI can quickly find data in financial reports but can't replicate an expert's ability to see crucial connections and second-order effects. This leads investors to a false sense of security, relying on a tool that provides information without the wisdom to interpret it correctly.

Analysts exhibit a predictable pattern: they issue overly optimistic long-term earnings forecasts to maintain good relationships with management, then gradually reduce them as the announcement nears. The final forecast is often slightly pessimistic, setting a low bar for companies to easily "beat," making the process a rigged game.

For Terry Smith, deep financial analysis (margins, cash conversion, incremental returns) always comes first. He meets management not for short-term trading updates, but for a singular purpose: to understand their philosophy and metrics for allocating capital between dividends, buybacks, reinvestment, and M&A.

Financial models struggle to project sustained high growth rates (>30% YoY). Analysts naturally revert to the mean, causing them to undervalue companies that defy this and maintain high growth for years, creating an opportunity for investors who spot this persistence.

Discomfort with concepts like income statements or margins causes salespeople to shy away from conversations with CFOs and other executives. This self-imposed limitation prevents them from connecting their solution to core business metrics like cost, revenue, and profit, trapping them in lower-level discussions.

Before analyzing a balance sheet or income statement, read the footnotes. They act as a legend, revealing the specific accounting choices, definitions, and modifications management has made. This context is essential to accurately interpret the numbers and understand the underlying business reality.

Most analysts default to the income statement. Tom Gaynor reads the balance sheet and cash flow statement first. This prioritizes financial strength and actual cash generation over reported earnings, a clear indicator of a long-term, balance-sheet-first investment philosophy.

Analysts Avoid Reading Financial Statements Because It’s a ‘Mug’s Game’ Against Market Momentum | RiffOn