Base Power's founder identified the energy sector as ripe for disruption by pattern-matching. Like autos before Tesla or aerospace before SpaceX, energy was a massive, incumbent-dominated field that was not yet technology-focused, R&D-driven, or engineering-led.
Focusing only on trendy sectors leads to intense competition where the vast majority of startups fail. True opportunity lies in contrarian ideas that others overlook or dismiss, as these markets have fewer competitors.
Unlike their first company Meraki, the Samsara founders entered the physical operations industry as novices. Their conviction came from identifying compounding technology waves—connectivity, compute, and sensors—and trusting these would unlock future value, even if the exact path was unclear.
To lure senior talent from giants like SpaceX, Base Power pitched more than equity. It offered a chance to work on humanity's hardest problems (energy), promising a continuous stream of complex challenges that top performers crave, alongside massive economic upside.
The most transformative opportunities for founders lie not in crowded SaaS markets but in applying an advanced technology mindset to legacy industries. Sectors like lumber milling, mining, and metalwork are ripe for disruption through automation and robotics, creating massive, untapped value.
While domain experts are great at creating incremental improvements, true exponential disruption often comes from founders outside an industry. Their fresh perspective allows them to challenge core assumptions and apply learnings from other fields.
Unlike SaaS startups focused on finding product-market fit (market risk), deep tech ventures tackle immense technical challenges. If they succeed, they enter massive, pre-existing trillion-dollar markets like energy or shipping where demand is virtually guaranteed, eliminating market risk entirely.
In commoditized industries like energy, customers are accustomed to poor service and non-existent brands. Base identifies this as a massive opportunity. By focusing on creating the first "beloved brand in energy," they aim to build a powerful competitive moat that incumbents cannot easily replicate.
An investor's career journey from 'cool' industries like film financing to 'boring' ones like construction software reveals a core truth: the fundamental principles of building a business are consistent across all sectors. Passion for innovation and business models, not industry hype, uncovers the best opportunities.
Many iconic founders, like Southwest's Herb Kelleher, were beginners in their industries. This lack of experience was an advantage, freeing them from established dogmas and allowing them to approach problems with a fresh perspective. They built unconventional models that incumbents dismissed or couldn't replicate.
Periods of intense technological disruption, like the current AI wave, destabilize established hierarchies and biases. This creates a unique opportunity for founders from non-traditional backgrounds who may be more resilient and can identify market needs overlooked by incumbents.