Private equity and venture capital funds create an illusion of stability by avoiding daily mark-to-market pricing. This "laundering of volatility" is a core reason companies stay private longer. It reveals a key, if artificial, benefit of private markets that new technologies like tokenization could disrupt.

The traditional IPO exit is being replaced by a perpetual secondary market for elite private companies. This new paradigm provides liquidity for investors and employees without the high costs and regulatory burdens of going public. This shift fundamentally alters the venture capital lifecycle, enabling longer private holding periods.

The trend of allowing employees to sell shares in secondary transactions before investors get liquidity is a problem. Lior Susan argues this creates a fundamental misalignment, as historically, employees and investors realized returns at the same time. The system needs rethinking for long-duration private companies.

In a market downturn, public AI companies face mark-to-market stock pressure and employee anxiety. As a private player whose public partners' valuations depend on it, OpenAI could be insulated from this volatility, giving it a stability advantage.

While many private founders fear going public, David George of a16z claims he's never met a public CEO who regrets it. Key benefits include easier and often cheaper access to capital compared to private markets, increased transparency, and the discipline it instills. The narrative of public market misery is overblown for most successful companies.

The public markets offer a unique advantage over staying private indefinitely: discipline during transitions. Daily stock prices and investor scrutiny force management to confront hard truths and balance growth, profitability, and innovation. As seen with Netflix's pivot to streaming, this pressure is crucial for realigning employee incentives and making tough capital decisions during strategic shifts.

A stock price disconnected from fundamentals can be a powerful tool. As seen with Meta in 2022, a low stock price hinders recruitment. Conversely, a high stock price acts as a valuable currency for equity compensation, allowing companies to attract and retain elite employees, even if investors are skeptical of the valuation.

The venture capital paradigm has inverted. Historically, private companies traded at an "illiquidity discount" to their public counterparts. Now, for elite companies, there is an "access premium" where investors pay more for private shares due to scarcity and hype. This makes staying private longer more attractive.

The trend of companies staying private longer and raising huge late-stage rounds isn't just about VC exuberance. It's a direct consequence of a series of regulations (like Sarbanes-Oxley) that made going public extremely costly and onerous. As a result, the private capital markets evolved to fill the gap, fundamentally changing venture capital.