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An operator's framework for CPG due diligence evaluates deals in a specific, non-financial-first order: 1) founder, 2) product-market fit, 3) go-to-market, and 4) manufacturing. Financials are assessed last; if the preceding elements fail, the numbers are irrelevant.

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In a non-control deal, an investor cannot fire management. Therefore, the primary diligence focus must shift from the business itself to the founder's character and the potential for a strong partnership, as this relationship is the ultimate determinant of success.

The conventional wisdom for CPG startups was to be "asset-light" and use co-packers. However, owning the supply chain provides crucial control over quality, production schedules, and cash flow, preventing startups from being pushed aside by a co-packer's larger clients. This control is now a key diligence point.

Effective due diligence isn't a checklist, but the collection of many small data points—revenue, team retention, customer love, CVC interest. A strong investment is a "beam" where all points align positively. Any misalignment creates doubt and likely signals a "no," adhering to the "if it's not a hell yes, it's a no" rule.

A compressed diligence process relies heavily on projections. A superior approach is building a relationship over 1-2 years, which allows an investor to witness the company's actual execution against its stated goals, providing far greater conviction than any financial model.

Casado argues that the market creates the company, not the other way around. He first determines if a market is viable and growing, and only then asks if the founder is the right fit for that specific market, reversing the common founder-first VC mantra.

Before launching, assess a product's viability by the sheer number of potential distribution points. Manufacturing and logistics are solvable problems if the market access is vast. This reverses the typical product-first approach by prioritizing market penetration from day one.

While assessed during diligence, the true caliber of a founder—their passion, authenticity, and ability to "run through walls"—becomes starkly clear after the deal closes. This distinction is not subtle; the impact of a truly exceptional founder versus an average one is immediately evident in the business's trajectory.

Before an LOI, share your high-level vision, then have the target's founders pitch back their own 6- and 12-month post-acquisition roadmap. This pre-commitment exercise reveals true alignment and integration potential far more effectively than traditional diligence, creating a joint vision early on.

A rising tide lifts all boats. The true test of a founder partnership emerges during downturns. Diligence should focus on teasing out traits like adaptability, humility, and accountability, which predict how a founder will react when plans inevitably go awry.

Founders in CPG should personally master the hands-on production of their product before outsourcing. This deep knowledge of the process is invaluable, equipping you to ask specific technical questions and properly evaluate a co-manufacturer's capabilities, ensuring quality is maintained at scale.