Top founders fundraise like a confident person on a first date. They project that their company will succeed with or without a specific investor's money. This shifts the dynamic from seeking capital to offering a strategic partnership, forcing VCs to justify why they should be on the cap table.
When evaluating follow-on opportunities, the conventional wisdom is to look for a Tier 1 VC leading the round. However, a specialized fund with deep industry expertise leading a Series A can be an equally powerful, or even stronger, positive signal for a company's potential and market fit.
Lobster Capital intentionally distributed small proceeds from a failed company instead of reinvesting. This signals a serious commitment to liquidity and DPI (Distributions to Paid-in Capital) to Limited Partners, building trust early in a fund's life when returns are years away.
While both involve risk, prediction markets like Polymarket allow for bets on real-world events where an individual can have a genuine analytical edge. This contrasts with the uninformed, "degenerate" speculation common in meme coins, offering a potentially more rational outlet for risk capital.
As AI agents become sophisticated, they'll need to pay for services. Traditional banking is too slow and fragmented for them. Crypto, as the internet's native money, provides the instant, global, low-fee rails for AI agents to transact with each other and with web services, creating a major new use case.
Effective due diligence isn't a checklist, but the collection of many small data points—revenue, team retention, customer love, CVC interest. A strong investment is a "beam" where all points align positively. Any misalignment creates doubt and likely signals a "no," adhering to the "if it's not a hell yes, it's a no" rule.
YC's program for students isn't just about flexibility; it's a strategy to track promising founders for years. By encouraging repeat applications, YC gathers longitudinal data on a founder's evolution, thinking, and progress, de-risking the eventual investment by observing their entire pre-founding journey.
Elite seed funds investing in YC companies with millions in ARR are effectively pre-Series A investors. Their portfolio companies can become profitable and scale significantly on seed capital alone ("seed strapping"), making the traditional "Series A graduation rate" an outdated measure of a seed fund's success.