An innovation arm's performance isn't its "batting average." If a team pursues truly ambitious, "exotic" opportunities, a high failure rate is an expected and even positive signal. An overly high success rate suggests the team is only taking safe, incremental bets, defeating its purpose.

Drawing from Leonardo da Vinci, Nike's innovation philosophy combines "sfumato" (a mad scientist's willingness to fail) and "arte de science" (logical, scientific thinking). The fusion of these two opposing mindsets creates a "calculated risk"—the essential ingredient for meaningful breakthroughs.

Innovation requires psychological safety. When employees are afraid to speak up or make mistakes, they become "armored" and growth stagnates. To unlock potential, leaders must create environments where the joy of creation and contribution outweighs the fear of failure.

Corporate creativity follows a bell curve. Early-stage companies and those facing catastrophic failure (the tails) are forced to innovate. Most established companies exist in the middle, where repeating proven playbooks and playing it safe stifles true risk-taking.

Creativity thrives not from pressure, but from a culture of psychological safety where experimentation is encouraged. Great thinkers often need to "sit on" a brief for weeks to let ideas incubate. Forcing immediate output stifles breakthrough campaign thinking.

For ambitious 'moonshot' projects, the vast majority of time and effort (90%) is spent on learning, exploration, and discovering the right thing to build. The actual construction is a small fraction (10%) of the total work. This reframes failure as a critical and expected part of the learning process.

Sebastian Thrun advises innovators to eliminate guilt and fear, estimating 80% of his work is correcting mistakes. Feeling guilty about errors stifles risk-taking and leads to safe, incremental work. Instead, he treats mistakes purely as learning opportunities to be applied in the future.

When an experimental campaign failed, Edelman's CEO Richard Edelman protected the mid-level employee responsible. He framed the mistake as a necessary cost of innovation in a new field, explicitly telling the team to "keep pushing boundaries." This response fosters a culture where calculated risks are encouraged rather than punished.

Rewarding successful outcomes incentivizes employees to choose less risky, less innovative projects they know they can complete. To foster true moonshots, Alphabet's X rewards behaviors like humility and curiosity, trusting that these habits are the leading indicators of long-term breakthroughs.