The private markets industry is bifurcating. General Partners (GPs) must either scale massively with broad distribution to sell multiple products, or focus on a highly differentiated, unique strategy. The middle ground—being a mid-sized, undifferentiated firm—is becoming the most difficult position to defend.

As ad platforms like Google automate bid management, an agency's value is no longer in manual "button pushing." The new competitive edge is the ability to feed the platform's AI with superior client data and insights. Agencies that cannot access and leverage this data will struggle to demonstrate value.

The advantage of a massive holding company like Publicis isn't just efficiency. Its scale enables agencies like Digitas to build deep, product-level partnerships with platforms like Reddit. It also lets them seamlessly pull in specialized expertise from sister agencies for clients without new procurement cycles.

Agencies are optimized for efficiency, stifling the creative experimentation needed for platforms like Meta. Top-performing brands employ an in-house strategist whose sole job is generating a high volume of diverse, "wacky" ad concepts—a function that can't be effectively outsourced.

Many large agencies are not truly consumer-centric. Their business model incentivizes focusing on winning industry awards (like Cannes Lions), pleasing internal stakeholders, and navigating corporate politics. This creates a fundamental disconnect from where consumer attention actually is, leading to ineffective marketing spend.

The battle for Warner Bros. is not an isolated event. Whichever entity wins will create a media giant, diminishing the scale of competitors like Disney and Apple. This shift will force the remaining players into their own large-scale, defensive acquisitions to avoid being left behind in a newly consolidated landscape.

The old investment banking model of mass-emailing a deal to many potential buyers is ineffective for media assets. Selling a media company now requires a custom, hands-on process targeting a handful of highly specific, strategic buyers, as the universe of potential acquirers has shrunk and their needs have changed.

The current M&A landscape is defined by a valuation disparity where smaller companies trade at a discount to larger ones. This creates a clear strategic incentive for large corporations to drive growth by acquiring smaller, more affordable competitors.

Despite fewer resources, smaller enterprises often succeed with ABM where large tech fails. Their success stems from faster alignment between sales and marketing, fewer layers of bureaucracy, and the agility to create and execute campaigns quickly without being bogged down by silos.