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  1. Business Breakdowns
  2. Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]
Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns · Oct 9, 2025

Media is in flux. An investment banker breaks down the M&A landscape, the fall of organic traffic, and the rise of direct-to-audience creators.

The Only Way to Coexist With AI Is to Consciously Disconnect More

The narrative that AI-driven free time will spur creativity is flawed. Evidence suggests more free time leads to increased digital addiction, anxiety, and poor health. The correct response to AI's rise is not deeper integration, but deliberate disconnection to preserve well-being and genuine creativity.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

Publishers Now Plan for "Google Zero," a Future Without Organic Search Traffic

Reliance on SEO is a critical vulnerability. Publishers are bracing for "Google Zero," a scenario where search provides no organic traffic. This existential threat is forcing a rapid pivot from optimizing for algorithms to building direct audience relationships via newsletters and subscriptions, as organic traffic declines by double-digits.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

Any Company Paying High Customer Acquisition Costs Is a Potential Media Acquirer

The pool of potential media buyers extends beyond traditional media. Any business paying a "toll" to Google or Facebook for customers is a strategic acquirer for a media asset that owns a direct audience in its niche. This reframes media M&A as a CAC-reduction strategy for non-media companies like Uber.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

Media M&A Has Shifted From Broad Auctions to Hyper-Targeted Pitches

The old investment banking model of mass-emailing a deal to many potential buyers is ineffective for media assets. Selling a media company now requires a custom, hands-on process targeting a handful of highly specific, strategic buyers, as the universe of potential acquirers has shrunk and their needs have changed.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

Top YouTube Shows Like 'Hot Ones' Buy Back Their Own Ad Inventory to Resell at TV Rates

Elite YouTube creators aren't just passive recipients of ad revenue. They actively buy their own ad inventory from YouTube and then resell it directly to brands, packaging it like traditional TV with guaranteed "adjacency" to specific content. This strategy dramatically increases monetization and business valuation.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

AI Is Reversing the Rapid Value Decay of Old Content Libraries

Historically, the value of content IP like scripts and music declined sharply 30-60 days after release. AI tools can now "reimagine" these dormant libraries quickly and cost-effectively, creating new derivative works. This presents a massive, previously untapped opportunity to unlock new revenue streams from back catalogs.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago

Legacy Media's "Fast Follow" M&A Pattern Creates Predictable Acquisition Windows

Large media companies are slow to adopt new platforms like Substack. However, once one major player makes a move (e.g., Bloomberg launching Substacks), it triggers a "fast follow" reaction from competitors. This predictable herd mentality creates strategic windows for creators on those platforms to pursue acquisitions.

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230] thumbnail

Media M&A - [Business Breakdowns, EP.230]

Business Breakdowns·4 months ago