European nations, feeling safe and prosperous after the Cold War, pursued aggressive green policies described as "economic suicide." Dismantling nuclear power and raising industrial electricity prices has destroyed manufacturing, created energy dependencies on rivals like Russia, and weakened their geopolitical standing.
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The unified fear of Russia is compelling Europe to pivot its economic focus towards industrial and defense manufacturing. This is a significant strategic shift for a region recently more focused on regulation and legacy industries, potentially revitalizing its industrial base.
Chronic issues like high energy costs and regulatory burdens, combined with a failure to implement meaningful reforms (e.g., only 11% of the Draghi report), have weakened Europe's competitiveness. This leaves the continent exposed and losing market share as China aggressively pursues an export-led growth strategy.
The push for massive overbuilding of solar/wind and gigantic battery farms is not an optimal grid strategy. It's a workaround that became popular only because of a pre-existing belief that building new, reliable baseload nuclear power was not an option.
An initially moderate pessimistic stance on new technology often escalates into advocacy for draconian policies. The 1970s ban on civilian nuclear power is a prime example of a fear-based decision that created catastrophic long-term consequences, including strengthening geopolitical rivals.
The energy trilemma (clean, stable, abundant) has been reordered. Previously, 'clean' was the top priority. Now, driven by massive demand and geopolitical instability, the market and policymakers prioritize securing 'more' energy that is 'stable,' even if it means delaying decarbonization goals.
For Europe to compete in AI, it must overcome its aversion to large-scale energy projects. The winning strategy is to co-locate massive compute infrastructure in areas with cheap, abundant energy, like Norwegian wind farms. Without this, Europe risks becoming a 'tourist economy' built on past glories.
Beyond environmental benefits, climate tech is crucial for national economic survival. Failing to innovate in green energy cedes economic dominance to countries like China. This positions climate investment as a matter of long-term financial and geopolitical future-proofing for the U.S. and Europe.
The economic model for renewable energy is the inverse of fossil fuels. While building wind or solar farms requires significant initial capital investment, their ongoing operational costs are minimal. This suggests that as Europe advances its green transition, its long-term energy cost competitiveness will dramatically improve.
Europe faces a critical conflict between its ambitious net-zero targets and its economic health. High energy costs and a heavy regulatory burden, designed without market realities in mind, are causing companies to close facilities or move investment to the U.S., forcing a difficult reassessment.
By creating the world's highest industrial electricity prices, the UK's Net Zero strategy doesn't eliminate emissions but merely offshores manufacturing to countries with laxer standards. This de-industrializes Britain, reduces national prosperity, and may even increase total global carbon output.
