Society is splitting into two groups: "post-headline" people who rely on official media for validation, and "pre-headline" people (like Elon Musk) who synthesize raw, real-time data to act before the consensus forms. This information asymmetry is becoming a primary driver of wealth and power.
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Jim VandeHei predicts that as AI makes general information free and ubiquitous, the market value of distinctive, human-driven expertise will soar. Media companies with deep, niche reporting will thrive, while those producing generic content that can be easily replicated by AI will fail.
Unlike the industrialists of the past who built wealth from physical assets (atoms), today's super-rich are primarily 'symbol manipulators.' They create fortunes by arranging abstract symbols like code, financial instruments, and media narratives, reflecting a fundamental shift in the economy.
The coming economic shift won't create a simple rich-poor divide. It will create a new four-tiered social structure based on two key traits: judgment and entrepreneurial ability. The majority who lack both will be left economically non-viable.
Powerful figures like Trump and Musk strategically deploy headline-grabbing announcements as 'weapons of mass distraction.' This is not random behavior but a calculated tactic to divert public and media attention away from core weaknesses, whether it's a political scandal (Epstein) or a flawed business model (Tesla as just a car company).
Musk's decisions—choosing cameras over LiDAR for Tesla and acquiring X (Twitter)—are part of a unified strategy to own the largest data sets of real-world patterns (driving and human behavior). This allows him to train and perfect AI, making his companies data juggernauts.
The expectation that universal, instant access to information would lead to more efficient markets has been proven wrong. Instead, it has amplified sentiment-driven volatility. Stock prices have become less tethered to fundamentals as information is interpreted through the lens of crowd psychology, not rational analysis.
Power is shifting from open participation in a global market to controlling access between siloed communities (e.g., finance, tech, government). Individuals who can bridge these worlds and broker relationships, like operators on a medieval trade route, accumulate immense power and value.
Analysis shows prediction market accuracy jumps to 95% in the final hours before an event. The financial incentives for participants mean these markets aggregate expert knowledge and signal outcomes before they are widely reported, acting as a truth-finding mechanism.
The era of limited information sources allowed for a controlled, shared narrative. The current media landscape, with its volume and velocity of information, fractures consensus and erodes trust, making it nearly impossible for society to move forward in lockstep.
Social influence has become even more concentrated in the hands of a few. While the 'super spreader' phenomenon has always existed for ideas and diseases, modern technology dramatically enhances their power by increasing their reach and, crucially, making them easier for others to identify and target.
