Despite the focus on markups and paper gains, top VCs believe the ultimate measure of a fund's success is returning cash to investors (DPI). This focus on liquidity is so critical that even a young fund should signal its commitment by distributing cash from early, minor exits.
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Limited Partners should resist pressuring VCs for early exits to lock in DPI. The best companies compound value at incredible rates, making it optimal to hold winners. Instead, LPs should manage portfolio duration and liquidity by building a balanced portfolio of early-stage, growth, and secondary fund investments.
A simple framework to evaluate a VC's skill is the four 'D's'. They need proprietary Deal Flow, the ability to make good Decisions (initial investment), the conviction to Double Down on winners, and the discipline to generate Distributions (returns) for LPs.
Mayfield's Naveen Chaddha rejects the venture trend of chasing logos and "hot" deals, which he compares to buying beachfront real estate. His firm's strategy is to be a disciplined financial investor focused on a single metric: DPI (Distributions to Paid-In Capital), aiming for consistent, top-decile returns rather than succumbing to FOMO.
A multi-billion dollar exit's impact is relative to fund construction. For a concentrated Series A fund (30 companies), a $20B exit is a "Grand Slam." For a diversified seed fund (300 companies), the same exit is just a "Home Run" because it needs a 200x return, not a 30x, to be a true "fund returner."
The true differentiator for top-tier companies isn't their ability to attract investors, but how efficiently they convert invested capital into high-margin, high-growth revenue. This 'capital efficiency' is the key metric Karmel Capital uses to identify elite performers among a universe of well-funded businesses.
'Gifted TVPI' comes from consensus deals with pedigreed founders who easily raise follow-on capital. 'Earned TVPI' comes from non-consensus founders whose strong metrics eventually prove out the investment. A healthy early-stage portfolio requires a deliberate balance of both.
In frothy markets with multi-billion dollar valuations, a key learned behavior from 2021 is for VCs to sell 10-20% of their stake during a large funding round. This provides early liquidity and distributions (DPI) to LPs, who are grateful for the cash back, and de-risks the fund's position.
LPs have a binary focus: cash-on-cash returns. As long as a VC fund is consistently distributing multiples back to them (high DPI), they are less likely to question the fund's strategy. This "what have you done for me lately" attitude is key to securing re-investment in future funds.
VCs face a paradox with LPs. For early funds, LPs complain about the lack of distributions (DPI). For later funds, after the VC has made money, LPs question if they are 'still hungry enough,' creating a no-win situation.
When a portfolio company is public, liquid, and highly appreciated, some VCs distribute shares directly to their Limited Partners (LPs). This tactic returns value while allowing each LP to decide whether to hold for further upside or sell for immediate cash, effectively offloading the hold/sell decision.
