A chef notes that an eight-month wait for a single permit, while paying rent on an unopened restaurant, makes past systems of bribery seem preferable. The extreme financial bleed from slow bureaucracy creates a situation where a quick, corrupt alternative appears more economically viable.
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In heavily regulated or legally ambiguous industries, a founder's most valuable asset can be political connections. One startup literally used a pitch deck slide showing its co-founder with prominent politicians to signal their ability to influence future legislation in their favor. This represents a stark, real-world "crony capitalism" business strategy.
The number of startups founded in China dropped from 51,000 in 2018 to just 1,200 in 2023, a 98% decrease. Roelof Botha attributes this collapse to unpredictable government regulations that stifle entrepreneurial risk-taking, serving as a warning for how policy could impact innovation elsewhere.
When facing government pressure for deals that border on state capitalism, a single CEO gains little by taking a principled stand. Resisting alone will likely lead to their company being punished while competitors comply. The pragmatic move is to play along to ensure long-term survival, despite potential negative effects for the broader economy.
Government programs often persist despite failure because their complexity is a feature, not a bug. This system prevents average citizens, who are too busy with their lives, from deciphering the waste and holding the "political industrial complex" accountable, thereby benefiting those in power.
A regulator who approves a new technology that fails faces immense public backlash and career ruin. Conversely, they receive little glory for a success. This asymmetric risk profile creates a powerful incentive to deny or delay new innovations, preserving the status quo regardless of potential benefits.
Despite one of their key members, a deputy prime minister, being charged by anti-corruption authorities, the criminal syndicate continued its kickback scheme for several more months. This audacity suggests a deeply rooted belief that high-level connections would shield them from any real consequences, even with law enforcement closing in.
Beyond headline-grabbing scandals, the most insidious impact of a kleptocratic administration is its refusal to enforce existing laws, from financial regulations to anti-corruption acts. This quiet dismantling of the legal framework fosters a culture of impunity where bad actors thrive, ultimately harming ordinary people and destabilizing the entire system.
Regulatory capture is not an abstract problem. It has tangible negative consequences for everyday consumers, such as the elimination of free checking accounts after the Dodd-Frank Act was passed, or rules preventing physicians from opening new hospitals, which stifles competition and drives up costs.
The system often blamed as capitalism is distorted. True capitalism requires the risk of failure as a clearing mechanism. Today's system is closer to cronyism, where government interventions like bailouts and regulatory capture protect established players from failure.
Government procurement is slow because every scandal or instance of fraud leads to new rules and oversight. The public demands this accountability, which in turn creates the very bureaucracy that citizens and vendors complain about.
