The democratization of product development via AI will lead to a flood of new products—an estimated 600 to 800 million by the end of 2026. However, the prediction is that a staggering 90-95% of these will fail, highlighting the intense competition and need for disciplined execution.
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Product managers should leverage AI to get 80% of the way on tasks like competitive analysis, but must apply their own intellect for the final 20%. Fully abdicating responsibility to AI can lead to factual errors and hallucinations that, if used to build a product, result in costly rework and strategic missteps.
As AI makes software creation faster and cheaper, the market will flood with products. In this environment of abundance, a strong brand, point of view, taste, and high-quality design become the most critical factors for a product to stand out and win customers.
Small firms can outmaneuver large corporations in the AI era by embracing rapid, low-cost experimentation. While enterprises spend millions on specialized PhDs for single use cases, agile companies constantly test new models, learn from failures, and deploy what works to dominate their market.
In AI, low prototyping costs and customer uncertainty make the traditional research-first PM model obsolete. The new approach is to build a prototype quickly, show it to customers to discover possibilities, and then iterate based on their reactions, effectively building the solution before the problem is fully defined.
Historically, resource-intensive prototyping (requiring designers and tools like Figma) was reserved for major features. AI tools reduce prototype creation time to minutes, allowing PMs to de-risk even minor features with user testing and solution discovery, improving the entire product's success rate.
Headlines about high AI pilot failure rates are misleading because it's incredibly easy to start a project, inflating the denominator of attempts. Robust, successful AI implementations are happening, but they require 6-12 months of serious effort, not the quick wins promised by hype cycles.
The mantra 'ideas are cheap' fails in the current AI paradigm. With 'scaling' as the dominant execution strategy, the industry has more companies than novel ideas. This makes truly new concepts, not just execution, the scarcest resource and the primary bottleneck for breakthrough progress.
The conventional wisdom for SaaS companies to find their 'second act' after reaching $100M in revenue is now obsolete. The extreme rate of change in the AI space forces companies to constantly reinvent themselves and refind product-market fit on a quarterly basis to survive.
Companies racing to add AI features while ignoring core product principles—like solving a real problem for a defined market—are creating a wave of failed products, dubbed "AI slop" by product coach Teresa Torres.
As AI automates synthesis and creation, the product manager's core value shifts from managing the development process to deeply contextualizing all available information (market, customer, strategy) to define the *right* product direction.