As platforms like OpenAI integrate music generation, they'll capture the broad, casual user base (e.g., making a funny song for a chat). This pressures specialized tools like Suno to build defensibility by catering to prosumers and enterprise clients with deeper features, similar to Midjourney's strategy against DALL-E.
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Today's dominant AI tools like ChatGPT are perceived as productivity aids, akin to "homework helpers." The next multi-billion dollar opportunity is in creating the go-to AI for fun, creativity, and entertainment—the app people use when they're not working. This untapped market focuses on user expression and play.
Higgsfield initially saw high adoption for viral, consumer-facing AI features but pivoted. They realized foundation model players like OpenAI will dominate and subsidize these markets. The defensible startup strategy is to ignore consumer virality and solve specific, monetizable B2B workflow problems instead.
Suno's rapid revenue growth isn't just from original compositions. A key driver is users applying new styles (e.g., 1960s jazz) to popular songs (e.g., DMX), creating highly shareable content. This mirrors the viral "Studio Ghibli" AI art trend.
ElevenLabs' defense against giants isn't just a better text-to-speech model. Their strategy focuses on building deep, workflow-specific platforms for agents and creatives. This includes features like CRM integrations and collaboration tools, creating a sticky application layer that a foundational model alone cannot replicate.
Despite public industry skepticism, AI music tools are becoming indispensable creative co-pilots for professional songwriters and producers. The CEO of Suno reveals that while many pros use the platform extensively for ideation, they are reluctant to admit it publicly.
Drawing from Chris Dixon's thesis, the initial success of AI tools like Suno is based on their utility for creation (the "tool"). Their long-term viability hinges on transitioning users into a sticky consumption or social network, much like Instagram did with photo filters.
Startups like ElevenLabs and Midjourney compete with large AI labs by imbuing their models with a founder's specific 'taste.' This unique aesthetic, from voice texture to image style, creates a product identity that is difficult for a general, large-scale model to replicate.
Many users of generative AI tools like Suno and Midjourney are creating content for their own enjoyment, not for professional use. This reveals a 'creation as entertainment' consumer behavior, distinct from the traditional focus on productivity or job displacement.
The primary value of AI music generators is the entertainment of creation and style transfer, not passive listening. This positions them as competitors to creative software like GarageBand or games like Fortnite, rather than to streaming platforms like Spotify.
AI music's primary value isn't just as a professional tool. Suno's CEO explains its success comes from attracting users with a novel party trick (e.g., a funny one-off song) and then retaining them through the unexpectedly joyful and engaging experience of making music.