Raising too much money at a high valuation puts a "bogey on your back." It forces a "shoot the moon" strategy, which can decrease capital efficiency, make future fundraising harder, and limit potential exit opportunities by making the company too expensive for acquirers.

In the current market, companies prioritize liquidity and public market access over protecting previous private valuations. A lower IPO price is no longer seen as a failure but as a necessary market correction to move forward and ensure survival.

Accepting too high a valuation can be a fatal error. The first question in any subsequent fundraising or M&A discussion will be about the prior round's price. An unjustifiably high number immediately destroys the psychology of the new deal, making it nearly impossible to raise more capital or sell the company, regardless of progress.

Klarna's CEO candidly revealed that his management team vowed never to watch the company's stock price after its IPO, but they immediately broke that promise and checked it daily. This highlights the intense, almost unavoidable psychological pressure that public market fluctuations exert on company leadership.

A stock price disconnected from fundamentals can be a powerful tool. As seen with Meta in 2022, a low stock price hinders recruitment. Conversely, a high stock price acts as a valuable currency for equity compensation, allowing companies to attract and retain elite employees, even if investors are skeptical of the valuation.

A study found that CEOs trained to prioritize shareholder value deliver short-term returns by suppressing employee pay. This practice drives away high-skilled workers and cripples the company's long-term outlook, all without evidence of actually increasing sales, productivity, or investment.

Dan Sundheim argues successful private companies should avoid going public. Public market volatility means stock prices, and thus employee compensation, are driven by sentiment, not fundamental value creation. Being dramatically overvalued can be as harmful as being undervalued, as it misaligns incentives for future hires.

Companies like SpaceX and OpenAI command massive private valuations partly because access to their shares is scarce. An IPO removes this barrier, making the stock universally available. This loss of scarcity value can lead to a valuation decline, a pattern seen in other assets like crypto when they became easily accessible via ETFs.

Founders often assume employees share their risk appetite for equity, but this is a mistake. When offered a choice between a higher cash salary and a mix of cash and equity, the vast majority of employees will choose the guaranteed cash, revealing a fundamental aversion to risk.