A former National Security Council staffer observed that President Trump's decisions often seemed counterintuitive in the moment but were later revealed as brilliant strategic "chess moves." This pattern built a high degree of trust among staff, enabling them to execute his vision without always understanding the immediate rationale.
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While Donald Trump may treat departments like Education or Defense as a "joke," he appears to take economic roles like the Fed Chair more seriously, appointing actual economists. This suggests he sees the economy as a direct, tangible scorecard of his success, requiring a baseline of competence that other areas do not.
Trump's erratic approach isn't random; it's a strategy to create chaos and uncertainty. This keeps adversaries off-balance, allowing him to exploit openings that emerge, much like a disruptive CEO. He is comfortable with instability and uses it as a tool for negotiation and advantage.
When a founder advises a successor to 'make decisions that energize you,' it's a strategic directive, not a wellness tip. It serves as a guardrail against the 'death by a thousand cuts' that comes from compromising core beliefs just to make others comfortable, thereby preserving the vision.
Seemingly irrational political decisions can be understood by applying a simple filter: politicians will say or do whatever they believe is necessary to get reelected. This framework decodes behavior better than assuming action is based on principle or for the public good.
Aviva's CEO notes her leadership has evolved to be more decisive with personnel. Experience allows her to recognize familiar, negative patterns early on ('seen this movie run... it doesn't end well'). Rather than delaying a difficult decision in hopes of improvement, she trusts her judgment and acts quickly.
Trump's 'hokey pokey' with tariffs and threats isn't indecisiveness but a consistent strategy: make an agreement, threaten a severe and immediate penalty for breaking it, and actually follow through. This makes his threats credible and functions as a powerful deterrent that administrations lacking his perceived volatility cannot replicate.
Mapping Trump solely as a self-serving politician is incomplete. His behavior is better understood as a combination of a narcissist who seeks power and a patriot who genuinely wants to impose law and order, leading him to use extreme methods.
In any complex organization, leaders face constant battles. A key strategy from the Secretary of Energy is to consciously let go of minor fights to conserve political capital and focus for the crucial ones. Getting fired up about every little thing leads to burnout and distracts from the ultimate mission.
Leaders are often insulated from the daily operational friction their teams face. This creates an illusion that tasks are simple, leading to impatience and unrealistic demands. This dynamic drives away competent employees who understand the true complexity, creating a vicious cycle.
When strategic direction is unclear due to leadership changes, waiting for clarity leads to stagnation. The better approach is to create a draft plan with the explicit understanding it may be discarded. This provides a starting point for new leadership and maintains team momentum, so long as you are psychologically prepared to pivot.