Using a shipbuilding analogy, Oliver Libby argues that a nation's stability—its ability to right itself after being pushed to extremes—is not guaranteed. This "righting moment" requires constant effort from its citizens, challenging the passive patriotism that assumes the country will always be okay.
Grand visions ("poetry") are seductive but lead to disasters like the Fyre Festival if not grounded in meticulous operational details ("plumbing"). Effective leadership requires balancing the inspiring, big-picture purpose with the prosaic, detail-oriented work of execution.
Reframe patriotism not as blind nationalism, but as acknowledging the immense, unearned privilege of one's birthplace and its opportunities. This creates a sense of gratitude and responsibility—a debt owed to the society, systems, and people whose sacrifices created that environment of opportunity.
In analyzing a public scandal, Scott Galloway notes that the greatest damage in a crisis typically isn't the initial event but the subsequent "shrapnel": the attempts to cover up, excuse, or avoid accountability. An effective response requires acknowledging the problem, taking responsibility, and overcorrecting.
Instead of incremental shifts around a moderate center (e.g., between 4 and 6 on a dial), US policy now swings violently between ideological extremes (3 and 9). This dynamic makes stable, consensus-based governance on issues like immigration nearly impossible.
Western education systems have spent decades teaching students that nationalism is dangerous and universal humanity is the true political community. This creates a strategic weakness, as states cannot expect these same generations to instantly adopt a strong national identity and be willing to fight for their country when a geopolitical crisis demands it.
Drawing inspiration from Antarctic explorer Ernest Shackleton, true optimism isn't a passive belief that things will work out. It's an active, courageous choice. In dire situations, a leader's decision to be optimistic is a strategic tool essential for survival and success.
Major political realignments are not always triggered by specific crimes but by a pervasive 'vibe' of elite entitlement and impunity. Revelations that expose a culture of being above the law can act as a societal 'let them eat cake moment,' sparking a revolutionary shift in public sentiment and policy priorities.
The US has historically benefited from a baseline level of high competence in its government officials, regardless of party. This tradition is now eroding, being replaced by a focus on loyalty over expertise. This degradation from competence to acolytes poses a significant, underrecognized threat to national stability and global standing.
Historian Anne Applebaum observes that significant US constitutional amendments often follow profound national traumas like the Revolution or the Civil War. This suggests that without a similar large-scale crisis, mustering the collective will to address deep-seated issues like systemic corruption is historically difficult, as there is no single moment of reckoning.
Political allies often remain silent critics until a leader's power begins to wane. The recent increase in Republicans publicly questioning Trump's economic grasp demonstrates this principle. This belated courage is more about political survival and opportunism than genuine conviction, emerging only after the personal risk has subsided.