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Historian Heather Cox Richardson warns against a trend where leaders believe they can solve complex problems like Middle East peace without relevant experience. This devaluing of credentialed experts in favor of loyalists guts government competence, as Americans take for granted the expertise required for effective governance.

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Newcomers to policy often feel they must become the world's foremost expert before contributing. In reality, the most valuable skill is "conscious incompetence"—knowing what you don't know and being able to quickly find and synthesize expertise from others, often on a tight deadline.

Critical media narratives targeting experienced tech leaders in government aim to intimidate future experts from public service. By framing deep industry experience as an inherent conflict of interest, these stories create a vacuum filled by less-qualified academics and career politicians, ultimately harming the quality of policymaking.

Trump's current inner circle consists of advisors loyal to him personally, not the country. They filter information to praise him and won't challenge his ideas, leading to poorly-informed, dangerous decisions.

The practice of removing experienced, credentialed diplomats and civil servants in favor of loyalists has gutted America's ability to execute complex tasks, from foreign policy to domestic administration. This decline is now becoming painfully obvious.

In the 1960s, a NASA procurement chief warned that relying on consultants would lead to capture by "brochuremanship"—where polished presentations replace substantive, in-house expertise. This accurately predicted today's problem of a government that can no longer write its own terms of reference, relying instead on consultant-driven PowerPoints.

The US has historically benefited from a baseline level of high competence in its government officials, regardless of party. This tradition is now eroding, being replaced by a focus on loyalty over expertise. This degradation from competence to acolytes poses a significant, underrecognized threat to national stability and global standing.

The Trump administration's chaotic foreign policy stems from a lack of formal process. Critical analysis is replaced by informal Oval Office meetings where decisions are made by whoever happens to be present, rather than through structured, expert-led discussions.

Government agencies are filled with "very narrow experts" who possess deep knowledge in specific domains. The role of a leader, according to Howard Lutnick, is not to be an expert in everything, but to act as a "weaver," combining the strengths of these specialists to create a cohesive and successful outcome.

A common leadership flaw is quickly making a decision and then focusing on persuading others of its correctness. A more effective approach involves consulting multiple experts and being willing to admit fault. This shift from persuasion to listening is critical for making sound decisions.

When governments outsource core functions like pandemic response planning to consultants, they don't just spend money; they prevent their own staff from developing crucial expertise. This creates a dependency cycle that "infantilizes" the state, weakening it over the long term.

Replacing Government Expertise with Loyalist Intuition Leads to Poor Execution | RiffOn