We scan new podcasts and send you the top 5 insights daily.
To remove emotion from portfolio management, Amplify has a policy to begin considering secondary sales once a position hits a 10x return. They then trim the position in tranches over subsequent funding rounds, allowing them to lock in gains and de-risk the fund without exiting a winner entirely.
Unlike many VCs who hold winners indefinitely, LeadEdge has a formal disposition committee that meets monthly. They constantly underwrite the forward IRR of each position and proactively sell, even in secondary markets, if a target return is met early.
First-time fund managers may feel pressure to sell shares in breakout companies early to prove they can return capital (DPI) to LPs. This is often a mistake driven by insecurity. While most LPs will praise the liquidity, the most sophisticated ones will recognize it as prematurely de-risking a massive winner.
Top growth investors deliberately allocate more of their diligence effort to understanding and underwriting massive upside scenarios (10x+ returns) rather than concentrating on mitigating potential downside. The power-law nature of venture returns makes this a rational focus for generating exceptional performance.
Contrary to the instinct to sell a big winner, top fund managers often hold onto their best-performing companies. The initial 10x return is a strong signal of a best-in-class product, team, and market, indicating potential for continued exponential growth rather than a peak.
Taking a small amount of money off the table via a secondary sale de-risks a founder's personal finances. This financial security empowers them to reject large acquisition offers and pursue a long-term, independent vision without the pressure of life-changing personal wealth decisions.
To manage the risk of volatile or 'bubble' stocks, investors should systematically take profits until their original cost basis is recovered. After this point, any remaining shares represent 'house money.' This simple mechanical rule removes emotion and protects principal while allowing for continued upside exposure.
While investing (buying) gets the attention, the actual job of a VC is disciplined selling to return capital to LPs. This requires constantly re-underwriting positions to determine if they can still meet the fund's target returns from their current valuation, rather than holding on indefinitely.
In frothy markets with multi-billion dollar valuations, a key learned behavior from 2021 is for VCs to sell 10-20% of their stake during a large funding round. This provides early liquidity and distributions (DPI) to LPs, who are grateful for the cash back, and de-risks the fund's position.
Investors fixate on selecting the right companies, but the real money is made or lost in the decision of when to sell or hold a winning position. The timing of an exit can create a 100x difference in outcomes. Having a disciplined approach to portfolio management and liquidity is more critical to fund performance than the initial investment choice.
After discovering that buyers of their portfolio companies were achieving 3x returns, TA shifted its strategy. Instead of selling 100%, they now often sell partial stakes. This provides liquidity to LPs and de-risks the investment while allowing TA to capture significant upside from the company's continued compounding growth.