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When searching for a business to acquire, focusing on industry-agnostic criteria like market size and longevity is more effective than sticking to familiar sectors. This approach opens up overlooked but durable markets, like home services, rather than limiting options based on a founder's prior experience.
Focusing only on trendy sectors leads to intense competition where the vast majority of startups fail. True opportunity lies in contrarian ideas that others overlook or dismiss, as these markets have fewer competitors.
Unsexy markets like plumbing or law have less competition, higher profit margins, and customers who are more receptive to expertise. This creates an environment for faster growth, akin to driving on an empty road.
Industries widely considered "terrible businesses," like restaurants, often signal opportunity. The high failure rate is usually due to a low barrier to entry and a lack of business acumen among participants. A disciplined, business-first approach in such an environment can create a massive and durable competitive advantage.
Don't overlook seemingly "boring" industries like cybersecurity or compliance. These sectors often have massive, non-negotiable budgets and fewer competitors than glamorous, consumer-facing markets. Solving complex, high-stakes problems for large companies is a direct path to significant revenue.
Companies like Amazon (from books to cloud) and Intuitive Surgical (from one specific surgery to many) became massive winners by creating new markets, not just conquering existing ones. Investors should prioritize businesses with the innovative capacity to expand their TAM, as initial market sizes are often misleadingly small.
The best investment opportunities aren't always in glamorous, crowded sectors like tech or healthcare. True competitive advantage comes from identifying and mastering industries with "short lines"—areas with less capital and fewer specialists, such as Main Street franchise businesses.
Avoid trendy, saturated markets. Instead, focus on stable, 'boring' industries that are slow to innovate and still rely on manual processes. These markets are ripe for disruption, have less competition, and typically offer higher margins for AI solutions.
An investor's career journey from 'cool' industries like film financing to 'boring' ones like construction software reveals a core truth: the fundamental principles of building a business are consistent across all sectors. Passion for innovation and business models, not industry hype, uncovers the best opportunities.
Significant change doesn't come from the established core of an industry but from the margins. This is where smaller, private companies and overlooked founders operate, making private markets a crucial hunting ground for the most disruptive investment opportunities.
Founders often chase severe, 'shark bite' problems that are rare. A more sustainable business can be built solving a common, less severe 'mosquito bite' problem, as the market size and frequency of need are far greater.