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The U.S. is shifting away from direct military intervention towards a model of arming regional allies to handle their own conflicts. This strategy, described as becoming the "world's gun store," is more economically sustainable and reduces the political cost of deploying American troops abroad.
Under Trump, the primary tool for projecting U.S. power is shifting from economic instruments like tariffs to direct military, intelligence, and cyber capabilities. This "Donroe Doctrine" leverages America's asymmetrical advantages in these areas, especially in its hemisphere, to achieve foreign policy wins without relying on economic coercion.
The most effective long-term strategy for the U.S. is not military intervention or nation-building, but to withdraw from the 'game of Global Empire.' Instead, America should focus inwardly on creating overwhelming economic strength and stability, making it a desirable partner rather than a global police force.
US foreign policy has often oscillated between total inaction (Syria) and large-scale occupation (Iraq). Trump's strategy in Iran—using targeted, surgical force without committing to a ground invasion or nation-building—could represent a new, albeit risky, 'third way' for military engagement.
Luckey argues that US foreign policy is shifting away from direct military intervention. The new, more effective strategy is to arm allies, turning them into "prickly porcupines" that are difficult to attack. This approach maintains US influence and economic benefits while avoiding the political and human cost of deploying troops.
The US National Defense Strategy is interpreted as a plan to secure the Western Hemisphere while fostering divisible conflicts globally. This creates dependency on American weapons, resources, and finance, effectively allowing the US to profit from worldwide instability.
Instead of sending aid, the US could profit from global conflicts by becoming the primary manufacturer and seller of weapons. This approach would re-industrialize the nation, create high-paying jobs in the military-industrial complex, and generate revenue without direct military intervention or sending cash abroad.
Instead of traditional regime change, current U.S. strategy focuses on 'conversion.' This involves creating such favorable economic and diplomatic conditions for adversaries that abandoning hostile ideologies becomes their only rational choice.
The narrative of American decline is misleading. The U.S. is strategically pulling back from its 80-year role as global policeman, a position that has become a vulnerability. This is a deliberate disengagement to reduce its own economic and military pressures, not a forced retreat, leaving allies feeling betrayed rather than witnessing a defeat.
Countries are rapidly increasing defense spending due to global instability and the US's shifting role. Massive backlogs for US equipment, like a reported 15-year wait for Patriot missiles, are forcing allies to invest in domestic production and R&D for assured supply.
A cynical but plausible US strategy is to provoke conflicts, like with Iran, and then withdraw. This forces regional allies such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE to manage the fallout by purchasing billions in American weaponry, creating a forced market for the defense industry.