Anduril advocates for performance-based contracts, a controversial model in government where payment is contingent on the product working. This forces internal accountability and aligns their interests with the customer's, contrasting with traditional cost-plus models that place all risk on the government.
The US defense industry's error was creating a separate, "exquisite" industrial base. The solution is designing weapons that can be built using existing, scalable commercial manufacturing techniques, mirroring the successful approach used during World War II.
The perception of the defense budget as a massive fund for new technology is incorrect. More than half is allocated to fixed costs like personnel, facilities, and maintaining old equipment. The actual procurement budget for new systems is historically low as a percentage of GDP.
The company's leadership philosophy, borrowed from Palantir, is to hire highly opinionated and sometimes difficult talent. While this feels chaotic, these individuals are essential for innovation and adaptation, unlike talent that merely optimizes existing, stable systems.
Unlike mass manufacturers, defense tech requires flexibility for a high mix of low-volume products. Anduril addresses this by creating a core platform of reusable software, hardware, and sensor components, enabling fast development and deployment of new systems without starting from scratch.
Countries are rapidly increasing defense spending due to global instability and the US's shifting role. Massive backlogs for US equipment, like a reported 15-year wait for Patriot missiles, are forcing allies to invest in domestic production and R&D for assured supply.
Many defense startups fail despite superior technology because the government isn't ready to purchase at scale. Anduril's success hinges on identifying when the customer is ready to adopt new capabilities within a 3-5 year window, making market timing its most critical decision factor.
