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Xi Jinping's regime views humanism—universal values and independent thought—as a "spiritual pollution" that threatens one-party rule. This ideological rigidity prevents him from making small concessions to achieve larger goals, which is the essence of diplomacy, making genuine compromise unlikely.
Understanding Xi requires seeing him as a Mao-style figure who prioritizes ideological purity and absolute control, unlike the pragmatic, market-driven flexibility of Deng Xiaoping. This informs his aggressive domestic purges and makes him a more volatile negotiating partner.
While Xi looms large, his foreign policy is largely consistent with the path set by his predecessors. He has capitalized on China's increased power to pursue established goals more intensely, but he has not radically changed the overall direction. Focusing only on him as an individual misses this continuity.
The US policy of engagement with China was viable only as long as China appeared to be on a path of reform and convergence. Xi Jinping's consolidation of power and abandonment of this reformist trend effectively killed the rationale for engagement, ushering in the current era of hostility.
The argument that the U.S. must race to build superintelligence before China is flawed. The Chinese Communist Party's primary goal is control. An uncontrollable AI poses a direct existential threat to their power, making them more likely to heavily regulate or halt its development rather than recklessly pursue it.
Unlike the Soviet Union's missionary zeal to spread communism, China does not want other nations to become Chinese. Its worldview is centered on being the 'Middle Kingdom'—the sun which others orbit. It desires respect and a preeminent position, not to export its political system.
China is deploying a dual-track foreign policy: engaging in soft 'panda diplomacy' with Western powers like the UK and Canada through cultural outreach and visa-free travel, while simultaneously taking a hardline 'wolf warrior' stance with regional rivals like Japan over issues such as Taiwan and currency tensions. This flexible approach allows Beijing to selectively de-risk relationships.
China's "engineering state" mindset extends beyond physical projects to social engineering. The Communist Party treats its own people as a resource to be moved or molded—whether displacing a million for a dam or enforcing the one-child policy—viewing society as just another material to achieve its objectives.
Trump's effusive expressions of respect and friendship towards Xi Jinping, while potentially synthetic, effectively leveraged the Chinese leadership's desire for "mutual respect." This personal approach created a positive atmosphere, serving as a transactional tool to smooth diplomatic interactions.
Unlike pragmatic predecessors, Xi Jinping operates from a quasi-religious belief that China is divinely intended to be the "middle kingdom"—the world's dominant power. This ideological North Star explains his confrontational approach to geopolitics, even when it seems economically irrational.
Ed Luttwak diagnoses Xi Jinping with Stockholm Syndrome. Xi's family was destroyed by Mao Zedong, yet he now adores and emulates him. This psychological condition, where a victim identifies with their abuser, explains Xi's seemingly irrational drive to revive Mao's cult of personality and aggressive policies.