Asset managers can avoid recycling old ideas by running a parallel institutional research service. The need to deliver fresh ideas to sophisticated, paying clients who challenge assumptions creates a powerful forcing function for continuous, contrarian idea generation that benefits the asset management side.

Related Insights

A16z's decision to add Hollywood agent Michael Ovitz to their board was controversial but genius. It directly led to modeling the firm after Creative Artists Agency (CAA), a novel approach in venture capital. This shows the power of seeking board-level expertise from outside your industry to challenge core assumptions and unlock game-changing strategies.

As platforms like AlphaSense automate the grunt work of research, the advantage is no longer in finding information. The new "alpha" for investors comes from asking better, more creative questions, identifying cross-industry trends, and being more adept at prompting the AI to uncover non-obvious connections.

The future of AI research is proactive discovery. The goal is a system that not only monitors a portfolio but also recognizes what it doesn't know, then autonomously tasks its AI interviewer to conduct expert calls to generate the missing insights and deliver the new analysis to the user.

WCM realized their portfolio became too correlated because their research pipeline itself was the root cause, with analysts naturally chasing what was working. To fix this, they built custom company categorization tools to force diversification at the idea generation stage, ensuring a broader set of opportunities is always available.

Conventional innovation starts with a well-defined problem. Afeyan argues this is limiting. A more powerful approach is to search for new value pools by exploring problems and potential solutions in parallel, allowing for unexpected discoveries that problem-first thinking would miss.

To identify non-consensus ideas, analyze the founder's motivation. A founder with a deep, personal reason for starting their company is more likely on a unique path. Conversely, founders who "whiteboarded" their way to an idea are often chasing mimetic, competitive trends.

AI models tend to be overly optimistic. To get a balanced market analysis, explicitly instruct AI research tools like Perplexity to act as a "devil's advocate." This helps uncover risks, challenge assumptions, and makes it easier for product managers to say "no" to weak ideas quickly.

Contrary to the instinct to hoard proprietary information, sharing ideas openly acts as a strategic tool. As seen with Pixar and institutional funds, it attracts engaged talent and creates a public dialogue. This provides invaluable feedback that refines and improves the original concept.

Unlike operating companies that seek consistency, VC firms hunt for outliers. This requires a 'stewardship' model that empowers outlier talent with autonomy. A traditional, top-down CEO model that enforces uniformity would stifle the very contrarian thinking necessary for venture success. The job is to enable, not manage.

The mantra 'ideas are cheap' fails in the current AI paradigm. With 'scaling' as the dominant execution strategy, the industry has more companies than novel ideas. This makes truly new concepts, not just execution, the scarcest resource and the primary bottleneck for breakthrough progress.