The proliferation of AI leaderboards incentivizes companies to optimize models for specific benchmarks. This creates a risk of "acing the SATs" where models excel on tests but don't necessarily make progress on solving real-world problems. This focus on gaming metrics could diverge from creating genuine user value.

Companies with valuable proprietary data should not license it away. A better strategy to guide foundation model development is to keep the data private but release public benchmarks and evaluations based on it. This incentivizes LLM providers to train their models on the specific tasks you care about, improving their performance for your product.

There is emerging evidence of a "pay-to-play" dynamic in AI search. Platforms like ChatGPT seem to disproportionately cite content from sources with which they have commercial deals, such as the Financial Times and Reddit. This suggests paid partnerships can heavily influence visibility in AI-generated results.

Public leaderboards like LM Arena are becoming unreliable proxies for model performance. Teams implicitly or explicitly "benchmark" by optimizing for specific test sets. The superior strategy is to focus on internal, proprietary evaluation metrics and use public benchmarks only as a final, confirmatory check, not as a primary development target.

Arena differentiates from competitors like Artificial Analysis by evaluating models on organic, user-generated prompts. This provides a level of real-world relevance and data diversity that platforms using pre-generated test cases or rerunning public benchmarks cannot replicate.

Don't trust academic benchmarks. Labs often "hill climb" or game them for marketing purposes, which doesn't translate to real-world capability. Furthermore, many of these benchmarks contain incorrect answers and messy data, making them an unreliable measure of true AI advancement.

Good Star Labs is not a consumer gaming company. Its business model focuses on B2B services for AI labs. They use games like Diplomacy to evaluate new models, generate unique training data to fix model weaknesses, and collect human feedback, creating a powerful improvement loop for AI companies.

Labs are incentivized to climb leaderboards like LM Arena, which reward flashy, engaging, but often inaccurate responses. This focus on "dopamine instead of truth" creates models optimized for tabloids, not for advancing humanity by solving hard problems.

As algorithms become more widespread, the key differentiator for leading AI labs is their exclusive access to vast, private data sets. XAI has Twitter, Google has YouTube, and OpenAI has user conversations, creating unique training advantages that are nearly impossible for others to replicate.