Multi-million dollar salaries for top AI researchers seem absurd, but they may be underpaid. These individuals aren't just employees; they are capital allocators. A single architectural decision can tie up or waste months of capacity on billion-dollar AI clusters, making their judgment incredibly valuable.
AI startup Mercore's valuation quintupled to $10B by connecting AI labs with domain experts to train models. This reveals that the most critical bottleneck for advanced AI is not just data or compute, but reinforcement learning from highly skilled human feedback, creating a new "RL economy."
Early AI training involved simple preference tasks. Now, training frontier models requires PhDs and top professionals to perform complex, hours-long tasks like building entire websites or explaining nuanced cancer topics. The demand is for deep, specialized expertise, not just generalist labor.
The 30-40% pay premium for AI PMs isn't just because "AI is hot." It's rooted in the scarcity of their specialized skillset, similar to how analytics PMs with statistics backgrounds are paid more. Companies are paying for demonstrated experience with AI tooling and technical fluency, which is rare.
Traditional hourly billing for engineers is obsolete when AI creates 10x productivity. 10X compensates engineers based on output (story points), aligning incentives with speed and efficiency. This model allows top engineers to potentially earn over a million dollars in cash compensation annually.
In a group of 100 experts training an AI, the top 10% will often drive the majority of the model's improvement. This creates a power law dynamic where the ability to source and identify this elite talent becomes a key competitive moat for AI labs and data providers.
According to Stanford's Fei-Fei Li, the central challenge facing academic AI isn't the rise of closed, proprietary models. The more pressing issue is a severe imbalance in resources, particularly compute, which cripples academia's ability to conduct its unique mission of foundational, exploratory research.
A unique dynamic in the AI era is that product-led traction can be so explosive that it surpasses a startup's capacity to hire. This creates a situation of forced capital efficiency where companies generate significant revenue before they can even build out large teams to spend it.
The mantra 'ideas are cheap' fails in the current AI paradigm. With 'scaling' as the dominant execution strategy, the industry has more companies than novel ideas. This makes truly new concepts, not just execution, the scarcest resource and the primary bottleneck for breakthrough progress.
AI disproportionately benefits top performers, who use it to amplify their output significantly. This creates a widening skills and productivity gap, leading to workplace tension as "A-players" can increasingly perform tasks previously done by their less-motivated colleagues, which could cause resentment and organizational challenges.
Contrary to the belief that distribution is the new moat, the crucial differentiator in AI is talent. Building a truly exceptional AI product is incredibly nuanced and complex, requiring a rare skill set. The scarcity of people who can build off models in an intelligent, tasteful way is the real technological moat, not just access to data or customers.