David Craver asserts that being an active private market investor is an "imperative" for success in public markets. The research and insights gained from late-stage, pre-IPO companies provide crucial information that directly informs and strengthens a firm's public equity investment strategy in an interconnected landscape.
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By combining public and private strategies, the firm observes that public markets react more quickly to crises. This provides predictive insights into the slower-moving private markets, creating an informational edge to anticipate cycles and opportunities before they fully materialize.
Historically, private equity was pursued for its potential outperformance (alpha). Today, with shrinking public markets, its main value is providing diversification and access to a growing universe of private companies that are no longer available on public exchanges. This makes it a core portfolio completion tool.
Private credit allows investors to act like chefs—deeply involved from ingredient sourcing (diligence) to final creation (structuring). Liquid market investors are like food critics, limited to analyzing the finished product with restricted access to information, which increases risk.
Top-tier private companies like Stripe and Databricks are actively choosing to delay IPOs, viewing the public market as an inferior "product." With access to cheaper private capital and freedom from quarterly scrutiny and activist investors, staying private offers a better environment to build long-term value.
Top-performing, founder-led businesses often don't want to sell control. A non-control investment strategy allows access to this exclusive deal flow, tapping into the "founder alpha" from high skin-in-the-game leaders who consistently outperform hired CEOs.
In a market dominated by passive funds and short-term multi-strategy players, Lone Pine carves out its niche by focusing on long-term fundamental valuation ("duration"). Craver believes this "white space" offers a significant competitive advantage as fewer actors are willing or able to invest with a multi-year time horizon.
Large LPs are increasingly investing directly in top-tier private tech companies, circumventing traditional VC funds. They gain access through SPVs with minimal fees, creating a competitive dynamic where VCs must justify their value proposition against direct, low-cost access to the most sought-after deals.
The venture capital paradigm has inverted. Historically, private companies traded at an "illiquidity discount" to their public counterparts. Now, for elite companies, there is an "access premium" where investors pay more for private shares due to scarcity and hype. This makes staying private longer more attractive.
Crescent Asset Management's core investment philosophy is to use public markets for cheap, passive beta exposure. They concentrate their active management efforts on private markets, where they believe an informational and access-based edge can be used to generate true alpha.
Significant change doesn't come from the established core of an industry but from the margins. This is where smaller, private companies and overlooked founders operate, making private markets a crucial hunting ground for the most disruptive investment opportunities.
