With information now ubiquitous, the primary source of market inefficiency is no longer informational but behavioral. The most durable edge is "time arbitrage"—exploiting the market's obsession with short-term results by focusing on a business's normalized potential over a two-to-four-year horizon.

Contrary to popular belief, the market may be getting less efficient. The dominance of indexing, quant funds, and multi-manager pods—all with short time horizons—creates dislocations. This leaves opportunities for long-term investors to buy valuable assets that are neglected because their path to value creation is uncertain.

Eagle Capital's competitive edge isn't just stock picking; it’s built on 'duration'—a 35-year history, 5+ year holding periods, and long-term clients. This structural stability attracts top talent and creates a flywheel effect for sustained success in an increasingly short-term world.

David Craver asserts that being an active private market investor is an "imperative" for success in public markets. The research and insights gained from late-stage, pre-IPO companies provide crucial information that directly informs and strengthens a firm's public equity investment strategy in an interconnected landscape.

The 0-12 month market is hyper-competitive, while quantitative models lose predictive power beyond five years. The 2-5 year timeframe is ideal for value strategies like special situations and mean reversion, offering a balance of predictability and reduced competition.

Eagle Capital's competitive advantage stems from a structure designed for long-term thinking. This includes a multi-decade history, long-term client relationships (avg. 10 years), and a diversified client base. This "duration" allows the firm to invest with a longer time horizon than competitors, which is a growing differentiator.

An estimated 80-90% of institutional trading is driven by quant funds and multi-manager platforms with one-to-three-month incentive cycles. This structure forces a short-term view, creating massive earnings volatility. This presents a structural advantage for long-term investors who can underwrite through the noise and exploit the resulting mispricings caused by career-risk-averse managers.

The modern market is driven by short-term incentives, with hedge funds and pod shops trading based on quarterly estimates. This creates volatility and mispricing. An investor who can withstand short-term underperformance and maintain a multi-year view can exploit these structural inefficiencies.

Craver uses a powerful thought experiment to filter investments: "If the stock market closed tomorrow and reopened in three years, what would you want to own?" This mental model forces a focus on durable, high-quality companies with secular tailwinds, filtering out trades based on short-term, speculative data points.