Similar to the short-lived direct listing wave, the idea of staying private indefinitely will likely only apply to a handful of elite, capital-rich companies like SpaceX. The vast majority of successful startups will still follow the traditional IPO path to provide liquidity and access public markets.

Companies like Stripe are avoiding IPOs because the private markets now solve the two main historical drivers: access to capital and employee liquidity. With annual secondary tenders and vast private funding available, the traditional benefits of going public are no longer compelling for many late-stage startups.

The traditional IPO exit is being replaced by a perpetual secondary market for elite private companies. This new paradigm provides liquidity for investors and employees without the high costs and regulatory burdens of going public. This shift fundamentally alters the venture capital lifecycle, enabling longer private holding periods.

The traditional purpose of an IPO—raising capital for company growth—is obsolete. Today, companies scale using private equity and only go public to allow early investors and insiders to cash out. This means the public market captures significantly less of a company's early, high-growth phase.

While many private founders fear going public, David George of a16z claims he's never met a public CEO who regrets it. Key benefits include easier and often cheaper access to capital compared to private markets, increased transparency, and the discipline it instills. The narrative of public market misery is overblown for most successful companies.

Top companies like Stripe or SpaceX can stay private forever by using robust secondary markets to provide liquidity to employees and investors. This allows them to focus on long-term growth without the burdens of public company reporting and quarterly profit pressures.

Multi-time public company CEO Mark Pincus argues that an IPO offers almost no benefit outside of access to capital markets. It creates new, distracting jobs for the CEO, triggers an exodus of employees who've achieved their 'bucket list' goal, and cedes control of internal communications to the whims of the stock market.

Operating a public company isn't just a change in funding; it's like running two entities. One is the operational business, and the other is a public-facing organization requiring constant management of institutional investors, which significantly distracts from core business goals.

For many large companies today, an IPO's primary purpose has shifted from raising growth capital—which is readily available in private markets—to creating liquidity for early investors and employees. The public offering acts as a valuation marker and an exit opportunity, not a funding necessity.