The directive for the GSEs (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) to purchase bonds at the President's behest complicates their privatization. This action reinforces their role as government policy tools, increasing their dependency on perceived government backing and making a transition to truly private entities more difficult.
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Monetary policy and bank regulation are two sides of the same coin. Since private banks create money through lending, any regulatory action (like changing capital requirements) directly influences the money supply. Giving the executive branch control over regulation would undermine an independent monetary policy.
The Fed's recent rate cuts, despite strong economic indicators, are seen as a capitulation to political pressure. This suggests the central bank is now functioning as a "political utility" to manage government debt, marking a victory for political influence over its traditional independence.
The Fed's intervention in funding markets, while not officially labeled Quantitative Easing, directly helps the Treasury finance its debt, effectively monetizing it and providing critical liquidity to markets.
The plan to buy mortgage bonds is not a direct solution for homeowners but a form of money printing (QE). This move likely props up banks holding increasingly unattractive mortgages as housing prices are pushed down, effectively bailing out financial institutions rather than individuals.
The Trump administration's influence over who leads the massive Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac IPO is a classic autocratic move. While punishing enemies is well-understood, just as crucial is over-rewarding allies, which consolidates power and creates an ecosystem of cronyism.
When the executive branch directly influences the regulatory outcome of a corporate deal, it constitutes state control over the means of production. This undermines the rule of law and free market principles, ironically fitting the definition of socialism regardless of the political party in power.
Unlike the Federal Reserve which can create reserves, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (GSEs) must fund their mortgage purchases. While they have significant retained earnings, they will likely need to issue short-term debt, creating a funding challenge as they buy long-duration assets with spreads that are negative to their funding costs.
The massive increase in government debt held privately has broken the monetary policy transmission mechanism. When the Fed raises rates, the private sector's interest income from Treasury holdings now rises significantly, creating a stimulus that counteracts the tightening effect on borrowing costs.
Massive government issuance is crowding out private credit and making sovereign bonds inherently riskier. This dynamic is collapsing credit spreads and could lead to a market where high-quality corporate bonds are perceived as safer than government debt, challenging the concept of a 'risk-free' asset.
Despite the perception of independence, the Federal Reserve historically yields to political pressure from the White House. Every US president, regardless of party, has ultimately obtained the monetary policy they desired, a pattern that has held true since the Fed's creation.
