In a security marketplace, customers don't *want* to find the "product" (vulnerabilities), creating a negative feedback loop unlike eBay. Bug Crowd's founder realized the moat couldn't just be network effects; it had to be the proprietary data used to match the right hackers to the right problems, maximizing success for both sides.

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Vested's investment model gains an edge from proprietary data on employee sentiment and behavior. Signals like unsolicited negative comments, willingness to counter on price, or selling more shares than necessary provide unique insights into a company's health that traditional financial analysis lacks, forming a data moat.

The advantage from data network effects only materializes at immense scale. The difference between a startup with 3 customers and one with 4 is negligible. This means early-stage companies cannot rely on a data moat to win; the moat only becomes visible after a market leader is established.

Instead of a traditional marketplace model with a take rate on transactions (bounties), Bug Crowd charges customers a recurring SaaS fee for platform access. The bounty payments flow directly to hackers. This aligns incentives better, as the company profits from providing platform value, not from the volume of vulnerabilities found.

As AI and no-code tools make software easier to build, technological advantage is no longer a defensible moat. The most successful companies now win through unique distribution advantages, such as founder-led content or deep community building. Go-to-market strategy has surpassed product as the key differentiator.

As AI makes building software features trivial, the sustainable competitive advantage shifts to data. A true data moat uses proprietary customer interaction data to train AI models, creating a feedback loop that continuously improves the product faster than competitors.

If a company and its competitor both ask a generic LLM for strategy, they'll get the same answer, erasing any edge. The only way to generate unique, defensible strategies is by building evolving models trained on a company's own private data.

Sustainable scale isn't just about a better product; it's about defensibility. The three key moats are brand (a trusted reputation that makes you the default choice), network (leveraged relationships for partnerships and talent), and data (an information advantage that competitors can't easily replicate).

Beyond typical due diligence, a company's true defensibility can be measured with a simple thought experiment: if the business disappeared overnight, how severe would the impact be on its customers? A high level of disruption indicates a strong, defensible business model.

Security Marketplaces Have a Negative Feedback Loop; Data Is the Real Moat | RiffOn