AI adoption is not limited to tech and white-collar work; it has become a universal business consideration. For example, a lumber mill in Vermont is using AI to sort planks, a task for which they struggled to hire skilled labor. This shows AI is being deployed as a practical solution to specific, localized labor shortages in legacy industries.

Related Insights

The rapid growth of AI products isn't due to a sudden market desire for AI technology itself. Rather, AI enables superior solutions for long-standing customer problems that were previously addressed with inadequate options. The demand existed long before the AI-powered supply arrived to meet it.

Contrary to expectations, analysis shows that sectors with low profit per employee, such as healthcare and consumer staples, stand to gain the most from AI. High-tech firms already have very high profit per employee, so the relative impact of AI-driven efficiency is smaller.

Past tech solutions for fragmented industries like logistics often failed because they required universal adoption of a new platform. AI can succeed by meeting users in their existing, messy channels—email, texts, calls. It automates work within current workflows rather than forcing a difficult behavioral change, lowering adoption barriers.

The narrative of AI destroying jobs misses a key point: AI allows companies to 'hire software for a dollar' for tasks that were never economical to assign to humans. This will unlock new services and expand the economy, creating demand in areas that previously didn't exist.

The AI job impact conversation has moved beyond tech. Walmart's CEO expects AI to change every job and plans for flat headcount over the next three years, even while growing the business. This signals a new mainstream corporate playbook focused on productivity over job creation.

Flexport uses AI agents for tasks that were previously skipped because they were too costly for human employees, like calling warehouses to confirm addresses. This shows that AI's value isn't just in replacing existing work, but in performing new, marginally valuable tasks at a scale that is finally economical.

Instead of fearing job loss, focus on skills in industries with elastic demand. When AI makes workers 10x more productive in these fields (e.g., software), the market will demand 100x more output, increasing the need for skilled humans who can leverage AI.

AI is rapidly automating knowledge work, making white-collar jobs precarious. In contrast, physical trades requiring dexterity and on-site problem-solving (e.g., plumbing, painting) are much harder to automate. This will increase the value and demand for skilled blue-collar professionals.

The initial impact of AI on jobs isn't total replacement. Instead, it automates the most arduous, "long haul" portions of the work, like long-distance truck driving. This frees human workers from the boring parts of their jobs to focus on higher-value, complex "last mile" tasks.

Most AI applications are designed to make white-collar work more productive or redundant (e.g., data collation). However, the most pressing labor shortages in advanced economies like the U.S. are in blue-collar fields like welding and electrical work, where current AI has little impact and is not being focused.