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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries
Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries

Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries

Thoughts on the Market · Nov 4, 2025

AI offers a $900B+ earnings opportunity for the S&P 500, impacting labor-intensive industries most, not just high-tech.

The AI Boom Follows a Predictable "10x" Compute Cycle Pattern, Signaling Longevity Over a Bubble

The AI era is not an unprecedented bubble but the next phase in a recurring pattern where each new computing cycle (mainframe, PC, internet) is roughly 10 times larger than the last. This historical context suggests the current massive investment is proportional and we are still in the early innings.

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Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries

Thoughts on the Market·3 months ago

Enterprises Should Prioritize AI Education Over Technology, Adopting a 90/10 Budget Split

The primary barrier to enterprise AI adoption isn't the technology, but the workforce's inability to use it. The tech has far outpaced user capability. Leaders should spend 90% of their AI budget on educating employees on core skills, like prompting, to unlock its full potential.

Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries thumbnail

Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries

Thoughts on the Market·3 months ago

AI Adoption Delivers Greatest Profit Gains to Low-Margin, Labor-Intensive Industries, Not High-Tech

Contrary to expectations, analysis shows that sectors with low profit per employee, such as healthcare and consumer staples, stand to gain the most from AI. High-tech firms already have very high profit per employee, so the relative impact of AI-driven efficiency is smaller.

Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries thumbnail

Future of Work: AI’s Impact on Industries

Thoughts on the Market·3 months ago