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Vance's journey from calling Trump 'America's Hitler' to his VP was driven by a changed belief. He initially trusted America's institutions (like military leadership). He now believes those institutions are 'sclerotic and broken' and sees Trump as the necessary weapon to disrupt them.

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The current crisis of faith in society isn't new; people have always known individuals can be corrupt. What has changed is the demonstrable proof that core institutions—government, media, etc.—are systemically incompetent and corrupt. This breakdown erodes the foundational ideologies, like democracy, that these institutions were meant to uphold.

The appeal of a populist leader lies in their rejection of traditional political norms. When the electorate feels betrayed by the established "political class," they gravitate toward figures whose rhetoric is a deliberate and stark contrast, signaling they are an outsider.

Supporting Trump after he tried to overturn an election required a new level of justification. Backers embraced extreme narratives, like left-wing elites being child predators, because only a threat perceived as equally or more severe than Trump's actions could make their continued support feel morally coherent.

Many educated Trump supporters aren't driven by conviction but by powerful rationalizations. They compartmentalize his flaws by focusing on a few agreeable points, allowing them to stay within their social and professional circles without admitting the embarrassing truth of their compromise.

Vance's political future is complicated by a fundamental split on the right. He must navigate the demands of his pro-AI, tech-focused donors against the strong anti-AI sentiment of influential media figures like Tucker Carlson and his broader MAGA base, making it a critical political challenge.

JD Vance views national patriotism as a social contract built on trust. He argues President George W. Bush depleted this reservoir by using it for the Iraq War, which Vance believes was not in the nation's best interest, leading to decreased willingness among youth to serve.

Influential figures like JD Vance and Elon Musk believe they can use Donald Trump as a vehicle for their own agendas, viewing him as a "dolt." They fail to recognize Trump's unique, once-in-a-generation political talent for working a crowd and understanding populist sentiment, which he uses to maintain control.

Tucker Carlson actively promoted JD Vance for VP by telling Donald Trump that the 'deep state' might assassinate him if he chose a 'neocon' like Marco Rubio. This demonstrates a strategic use of conspiracy theories at the highest levels of power to influence key political appointments and secure influence.

Contrary to the belief among D.C. elites that Trump was an 'accident of history,' voter focus groups revealed a genuine, bottom-up appetite for him. Many voters were tired of political dynasties like the Clintons and Bushes and actively wanted a disruptive outsider, a reality insiders failed to grasp.

In a scenario where VP JD Vance replaces an incapacitated Trump, he would be a less formidable leader. Vance lacks Trump's powerful personality cult, which is the essential glue holding his diverse and often conflicting political coalition together. Without it, Vance would face significant internal party resistance.

JD Vance's Pro-Trump Shift Was Caused by His Disillusionment With US Institutions | RiffOn