The focus on achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is a distraction. Today's AI models are already so capable that they can fundamentally transform business operations and workflows if applied to the right use cases.
Contrary to the view that useful AI agents are a decade away, Andrew Ng asserts that agentic workflows are already solving complex business problems. He cites examples from his portfolio in tariff compliance and legal document processing that would be impossible without current agentic AI systems.
The biggest mistake in AI adoption is simply automating an existing manual workflow, which creates an efficient but still flawed process. True transformation occurs when AI enables a completely new, non-human way of achieving an outcome, changing the process itself rather than just the actor performing it.
The novelty of new AI model capabilities is wearing off for consumers. The next competitive frontier is not about marginal gains in model performance but about creating superior products. The consensus is that current models are "good enough" for most applications, making product differentiation key.
The most significant gains from AI will not come from automating existing human tasks. Instead, value is unlocked by allowing AI agents to develop entirely new, non-human processes to achieve goals. This requires a shift from process mapping to goal-oriented process invention.
Obsessing over the next AI model is a distraction. Arvind Jain argues that even if model innovation stopped today, there are five years of massive growth ahead just from better applying existing capabilities. The real work is building valuable products on top of today's technology.
The most significant value from AI is not in automating existing tasks, but in performing work that was previously too costly or complex for an organization to attempt. This creates entirely new capabilities, like analyzing every single purchase order for hidden patterns, thereby unlocking new enterprise value.
Go beyond using AI for simple efficiency gains. Engage with advanced reasoning models as if they were expert business consultants. Ask them deep, strategic questions to fundamentally innovate and reimagine your business, not just incrementally optimize current operations.
The most significant recent AI advance is models' ability to use chain-of-thought reasoning, not just retrieve data. However, most business users are unaware of this 'deep research' capability and continue using AI as a simple search tool, missing its transformative potential for complex problem-solving.
The true commercial impact of AI will likely come from small, specialized "micro models" solving boring, high-volume business tasks. While highly valuable, these models are cheap to run and cannot economically justify the current massive capital expenditure on AGI-focused data centers.
The most profound near-term shift from AI won't be a single killer app, but rather constant, low-level cognitive support running in the background. Having an AI provide a 'second opinion for everything,' from reviewing contracts to planning social events, will allow people to move faster and with more confidence.