The novelty of new AI model capabilities is wearing off for consumers. The next competitive frontier is not about marginal gains in model performance but about creating superior products. The consensus is that current models are "good enough" for most applications, making product differentiation key.
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As AI makes it easy to generate 'good enough' software, a functional product is no longer a moat. The new advantage is creating an experience so delightful that users prefer it over a custom-built alternative. This makes design the primary driver of value, setting premium software apart from the infinitely generated.
Simply offering the latest model is no longer a competitive advantage. True value is created in the system built around the model—the system prompts, tools, and overall scaffolding. This 'harness' is what optimizes a model's performance for specific tasks and delivers a superior user experience.
As frontier AI models reach a plateau of perceived intelligence, the key differentiator is shifting to user experience. Low-latency, reliable performance is becoming more critical than marginal gains on benchmarks, making speed the next major competitive vector for AI products like ChatGPT.
As foundational AI models become more accessible, the key to winning the market is shifting from having the most advanced model to creating the best user experience. This "age of productization" means skilled product managers who can effectively package AI capabilities are becoming as crucial as the researchers themselves.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman now publicly hedges that winning requires the best models, product, *and* infrastructure. This marks a significant industry-wide shift away from the earlier belief that a sufficiently advanced model would make product differentiation irrelevant. The focus is now on the complete, cohesive user experience.
With model improvements showing diminishing returns and competitors like Google achieving parity, OpenAI is shifting focus to enterprise applications. The strategic battleground is moving from foundational model superiority to practical, valuable productization for businesses.
As foundational AI models become commoditized, the key differentiator is shifting from marginal improvements in model capability to superior user experience and productization. Companies that focus on polish, ease of use, and thoughtful integration will win, making product managers the new heroes of the AI race.
As AI commoditizes basic functionality, 'good enough' is no longer sufficient and will be considered mediocre. Sustainable advantage will come from the top of the stack: superior design, craft, brand, point of view, and storytelling.
As AI makes it incredibly easy to build products, the market will be flooded with options. The critical, differentiating skill will no longer be technical execution but human judgment: deciding *what* should exist, which features matter, and the right distribution strategy. Synthesizing these elements is where future value lies.
The era of winning with merely functional software is over. As technology, especially AI, makes baseline functionality easier to build, the key differentiator becomes design excellence and superior craft. Mediocre, 'good enough' products will lose to those that are exceptionally well-designed.
