Defensible companies build systems of record (like an ERP) that are so integral to a customer's operations that switching is prohibitively difficult. This creates a 'hostage' dynamic, providing a powerful moat against competitors, even those with better AI features.

Related Insights

The stickiest software is critical but inexpensive relative to a customer's overall budget, like payroll services. This 'Goldilocks zone' makes the software too small a cost for C-suite review, yet too embedded to easily replace, creating a powerful moat.

As AI commoditizes user interfaces, enduring value will reside in the backend systems that are the authoritative source of data (e.g., payroll, financial records). These 'systems of record' are sticky due to regulation, business process integration, and high switching costs.

A powerful, non-obvious moat for software is deep integration with hardware. DJ software Serato partnered with hardware makers like Pioneer, becoming the industry standard. This makes switching extremely costly for users who have invested thousands in hardware, creating a durable competitive advantage.

AI capabilities offer strong differentiation against human alternatives. However, this is not a sustainable moat against competitors who can use the same AI models. Lasting defensibility still comes from traditional moats like workflow integration and network effects.

Creating a basic AI coding tool is easy. The defensible moat comes from building a vertically integrated platform with its own backend infrastructure like databases, user management, and integrations. This is extremely difficult for competitors to replicate, especially if they rely on third-party services like Superbase.

True defensibility comes from creating high switching costs. When a product becomes a system of record or is deeply integrated into workflows, customers are effectively locked in. This makes the business resilient to competitors with marginally better features, as switching is too painful.

Excel's market dominance stems from Microsoft's strategy of bundling it into the non-negotiable Microsoft Office suite. This made it impossible for enterprise customers to purchase software à la carte, effectively locking out competitors and making individual user preference irrelevant.

In enterprise AI, competitive advantage comes less from the underlying model and more from the surrounding software. Features like versioning, analytics, integrations, and orchestration systems are critical for enterprise adoption and create stickiness that models alone cannot.

The most defensible businesses, especially in enterprise software, create such high switching costs that customers are essentially locked in. This "hostage" dynamic, where leaving is prohibitively difficult, is a stronger moat than simply having satisfied customers who could still churn. It's the foundation of an enduring software business.

Beyond typical due diligence, a company's true defensibility can be measured with a simple thought experiment: if the business disappeared overnight, how severe would the impact be on its customers? A high level of disruption indicates a strong, defensible business model.