Unlike past platform shifts that caught many off-guard, the AI wave is universally anticipated. This 'consensus innovation' intensifies all existing competitive pressures, as every investor—from mega-funds to accelerators—is aggressively pursuing the same perceived opportunities, pushing factors like Power Law belief to an extreme.

The current fundraising environment is the most binary in recent memory. Startups with the "right" narrative—AI-native, elite incubator pedigree, explosive growth—get funded easily. Companies with solid but non-hype metrics, like classic SaaS growers, are finding it nearly impossible to raise capital. The middle market has vanished.

The current fundraising environment for top AI founders is so frenzied that some are receiving term sheets before their data rooms are even built. In one case, a founder secured offers without financials in their data room, showing how speed and competition are causing some VCs to skip fundamental diligence.

The startup landscape now operates under two different sets of rules. Non-AI companies face intense scrutiny on traditional business fundamentals like profitability. In contrast, AI companies exist in a parallel reality of 'irrational exuberance,' where compelling narratives justify sky-high valuations.

With fundraising rounds closing in weeks instead of months, investors can no longer conduct exhaustive diligence on every detail. The process has become more efficient by treating the current business model as table stakes and focusing limited time on underwriting the core thesis for future, non-obvious growth.

Aggregate venture capital investment figures are misleading. The market is becoming bimodal: a handful of elite AI companies absorb a disproportionate share of capital, while the vast majority of other startups, including 900+ unicorns, face a tougher fundraising and exit environment.

AI companies raise subsequent rounds so quickly that little is de-risked between seed and Series B, yet valuations skyrocket. This dynamic forces large funds, which traditionally wait for traction, to compete at the earliest inception stage to secure a stake before prices become untenable for the risk involved.

The most sought-after YC companies have rounds that fill and oversubscribe on the first day of fundraising, often within hours. This extreme velocity means VCs who require multiple meetings or lengthy diligence will lose the deal, necessitating a process built for one-call decisions.

The CEO of Numeral notes that in the current fundraising climate, startups must heavily feature AI in their pitch to secure investor meetings. Furthermore, landing a major AI lab as a customer has become a key signal for VCs, leading to valuation multiples as high as 100-200x revenue for some companies.